Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic game?

Logic

Of 2,243 developers who shipped a Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2,547 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $500, ×4.2 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 2,547 games are announced against 1,340 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 2,547 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 2,243
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.2k → $896 → $809 → $657 → $599 → $479 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 2,243
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $503 (exactly $503)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,148)
Top 5% $76k (exactly $76,098)
Developers, 2 yr 2,243
Released games 7,398
Announced 2,547
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Logic
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 100,392 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $500, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $76k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 1,270 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 2,547 games are announced against 1,340 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Logic

55 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Logic + Lovecraftian Fair $3.3k 18 devs
  2. Logic + Noir Fair $2.7k 42 devs
  3. Logic + Hacking Fair $2.5k 60 devs
  4. Logic + Vampires Fair $2.4k 12 devs
  5. Logic + Dragons Fair $2.2k 12 devs
  6. Logic + LGBTQ+ Fair $1.2k 28 devs
  7. Logic + Detective Fair $1.2k 230 devs
  8. Logic + Science Fair $1.2k 88 devs
  9. Logic + Cats Fair $1.1k 77 devs
  10. Logic + Modern Fair $899 78 devs
  11. Logic + Psychological Fair $839 122 devs
  12. Logic + Dogs Fair $839 28 devs
  13. Logic + Supernatural Fair $719 76 devs
  14. Logic + Pirates Fair $629 11 devs
  15. Logic + Artificial Intelligence Fair $450 71 devs
  16. Logic + Trains Poor odds $3.1k 19 devs
  17. Logic + Crime Poor odds $2.8k 70 devs
  18. Logic + Dystopian Poor odds $2.7k 37 devs
  19. Logic + Conspiracy Poor odds $2.6k 35 devs
  20. Logic + Gothic Poor odds $2.2k 15 devs
  21. Logic + Steampunk Poor odds $2.1k 10 devs
  22. Logic + Faith Poor odds $1.9k 11 devs
  23. Logic + Alternate History Poor odds $1.3k 24 devs
  24. Logic + Historical Poor odds $1.3k 63 devs
  25. Logic + Female Protagonist Poor odds $1.2k 129 devs
  26. Logic + Mystery Poor odds $1.2k 409 devs
  27. Logic + Thriller Poor odds $1.1k 92 devs
  28. Logic + Time Travel Poor odds $1.1k 35 devs
  29. Logic + Underground Poor odds $955 24 devs
  30. Logic + Medieval Poor odds $900 81 devs
  31. Logic + Psychological Horror Poor odds $899 168 devs
  32. Logic + Cyberpunk Poor odds $898 35 devs
  33. Logic + War Poor odds $898 17 devs
  34. Logic + Futuristic Poor odds $822 139 devs
  35. Logic + Capitalism Poor odds $809 64 devs
  36. Logic + Mythology Poor odds $779 31 devs
  37. Logic + Horror Poor odds $748 204 devs
  38. Logic + Zombies Poor odds $720 24 devs
  39. Logic + Post-apocalyptic Poor odds $719 33 devs
  40. Logic + Space Poor odds $718 106 devs
  41. Logic + Aliens Poor odds $672 34 devs
  42. Logic + Romance Poor odds $629 53 devs
  43. Logic + Fantasy Poor odds $599 217 devs
  44. Logic + Magic Poor odds $599 121 devs
  45. Logic + Robots Poor odds $599 76 devs
  46. Logic + Demons Poor odds $599 45 devs
  47. Logic + Military Poor odds $599 18 devs
  48. Logic + Assassins Poor odds $597 13 devs
  49. Logic + Nature Poor odds $475 132 devs
  50. Logic + Sci-fi Poor odds $450 248 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

XCOM® 2 2016 · $48M Magical Girl Witch Trials 2025 · $27M shapez 2 - Factory 2026 · $12M Dorfromantik 2022 · $12M Judgment 2022 · $11M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
XCOM® 2 older $19.99 79,998 84% 2.4M $48M (exactly $47,974,801) Firaxis Games, Feral Interactive (Mac),… (Firaxis Games, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
shapez 2 - Factory $29.99 13,846 96% 415k $12M (exactly $12,457,246) tobspr Games
Dorfromantik older $13.99 27,441 96% 823k $12M (exactly $11,516,988) Toukana Interactive
Judgment older $39.99 9,407 93% 282k $11M (exactly $11,285,578) RGG Studio
The Talos Principle 2 older $29.99 12,478 94% 374k $11M (exactly $11,226,457) Croteam
Baba Is You older $14.99 21,011 97% 630k $9.4M (exactly $9,448,647) Hempuli Oy
Stationeers · EA older $34.99 8,597 88% 258k $9.0M (exactly $9,024,271) RocketWerkz
Lost Judgment older $39.99 7,461 93% 224k $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) RGG Studio
IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator $19.99 13,278 97% 398k $8.0M (exactly $7,962,817) Nick Nieuwoudt, Dominik Latos
The Roottrees are Dead $19.99 9,700 96% 291k $5.8M (exactly $5,817,090) Evil Trout Inc.
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy $49.99 3,558 92% 107k $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) Asobo Studio
Mind Over Magic $24.99 4,314 86% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) Sparkypants
Is This Seat Taken? $9.99 9,127 97% 274k $2.7M (exactly $2,735,362) Poti Poti Studio
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
The Incident at Galley House $19.99 4,087 94% 123k $2.5M (exactly $2,450,974) William Rous, Evil Trout Inc.
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.