Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk Logic game?

Logic + Steampunk

Only 10 developers shipped a Steampunk Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $7.9M, ×12680 the market median. Revenue is up 720% on the market; 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 720% on the market, 25 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $28k → $1.6k → $300 → $2.1k
Outcomes for Logic + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,692)
Top 5% $8.0M (exactly $7,962,817)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 39
Announced 25
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 720% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Logic
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 96% positive over 14,087 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $7.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator $19.99 13,278 97% 398k $8.0M (exactly $7,962,817) Nick Nieuwoudt, Dominik Latos
Opus Magnum older $19.99 5,964 97% 179k $3.6M (exactly $3,576,611) Zachtronics
Submachine: Legacy older $24.99 1,281 98% 38k $960k (exactly $960,366) Mateusz Skutnik
Syberia - Remastered $29.99 724 70% 22k $651k (exactly $651,383) Virtuallyz Gaming, Microids Studio Paris
The Tiny Bang Story older $4.99 3,809 88% 114k $570k (exactly $570,207) Colibri Games
Slice of Sea older $24.99 523 90% 16k $392k (exactly $392,093) Mateusz Skutnik
Teslagrad 2 older $19.99 419 76% 13k $251k (exactly $251,274) Rain Games
Haven Moon older $11.99 646 77% 19k $232k (exactly $232,366) Francois Roussel
Alan's Automaton Workshop older $14.99 196 82% 5.9k $88k (exactly $88,141) Laputa Labs
Teslagrad Remastered older $9.99 210 81% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,937) Rain Games
Power Sink $14.99 26 96% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Winterwire Games
Nova Patria $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Sower Interactive
Resonant Dusk $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Verdite Interactive
Little H.O.P.E. $1.99 29 100% 870 $1.7k (exactly $1,731) Forja Umbra
About a Boy $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Return 0 Game Studio
Phrank's Photon Pharm · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Cyber Cheese Industries, LLC
Clockwork Palace: Mysteries of the Mughal Mechanicum $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Studio Saffron Pvt Limited
GlyphBound $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) yono

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.