Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Logic game?

Logic + Vampires

Only 12 developers shipped a Vampire Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Space Accident VR, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.4k. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $3.6k → $2.9k → $2.2k → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $1.4k (exactly $1,363)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,427)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,095)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,741)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 26
Announced 14
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Stylized, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 610 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  6. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  7. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  8. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  9. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  10. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  11. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced
  12. + Visual NovelFair114 devs · median $1.6k · 135 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Rabbit Riot older $39.99 49 87% 1.5k $59k (exactly $58,785) Reactor Studios
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
Spooky Express $14.99 80 98% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Draknek and Friends
Slayaway Camp 2 $12.99 49 93% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Blue Wizard Digital
EXIT The Game – Trial of the Griffin older $7.99 71 84% 2.1k $17k (exactly $17,019) Nementic Games
Magic Сity Detective: Secret Desire Collector's Edition older $7.99 27 7% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) Do Games Limited
Incredible Dracula: Dark Carnival older $6.99 18 88% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) Game Mixer
Incredible Dracula: Academy of Shadows $6.99 17 70% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Game Mixer
Incredible Dracula: License to Relax $6.99 14 50% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Game Mixer
The Exorcist $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Necto
Gloomy Tales: Hotel Frightsylvania Collector’s Edition $8.99 9 44% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) Do Games Limited
New Yankee: Pirate Trap $6.99 11 81% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Alawar Casual
Prince of Darkness Jr. $4.99 15 100% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) Pond Area

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.