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Should I ship a Nature Logic game?
Logic + Nature
Of 132 developers who shipped a Nature Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 176 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $52k, ×110 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 176 games are announced against 69 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $475 (exactly $475) |
| Top 25% | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) |
| Top 5% | $52k (exactly $52,174) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 132 |
| Released games | 434 |
| Announced | 176 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Logic; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Strategy, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Colorful, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 2,513 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 80 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 176 games are announced against 69 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LovecraftianFair
- + City BuilderFair
- + NoirFair
- + HackingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + DragonsFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Bullet TimeFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + TransportationFair
- + Automobile SimFair
- + CookingFair
Comparable games
Botany Manor 2024 · $771k 
The Last Clockwinder 2022 · $582k 
Find Matt's Cats 2026 · $431k 
Paper Beast 2020 · $317k 
Winter 2022 · EA · $306k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Botany Manor | older | $24.99 | 1,028 94% | 31k | $771k (exactly $770,692) | Balloon Studios |
| | The Last Clockwinder | older | $24.99 | 776 96% | 23k | $582k (exactly $581,767) | Pontoco |
| | Find Matt's Cats | $19.99 | 719 98% | 22k | $431k (exactly $431,184) | Matt Roszak | |
| | Paper Beast | older | $19.99 | 529 94% | 16k | $317k (exactly $317,241) | Pixel Reef |
| | Winter | · EA older | $29.99 | 340 73% | 10k | $306k (exactly $305,898) | Frostfall Realms Studios |
 | Quilts and Cats of Calico | older | $19.99 | 405 93% | 12k | $243k (exactly $242,878) | Monster Couch |
 | Hourglass | older | $19.99 | 331 88% | 9.9k | $199k (exactly $198,501) | Cyberwave |
 | Glass Masquerade 3: Honeylines | older | $4.99 | 1,146 89% | 34k | $172k (exactly $171,556) | Onyx Lute |
 | Time on Frog Island | older | $19.99 | 284 71% | 8.5k | $170k (exactly $170,315) | Half Past Yellow |
 | Bento Blocks | $14.99 | 367 97% | 11k | $165k (exactly $165,040) | SOMETIMES LIMITED | |
 | Lure Of Passion | $5.99 | 452 89% | 14k | $81k (exactly $81,224) | Snakerser's Games | |
 | Ballex²: The Hanging Gardens | $14.99 | 179 95% | 5.4k | $80k (exactly $80,496) | Mushreb Games | |
 | CIPHER ZERO | $14.99 | 165 89% | 5.0k | $74k (exactly $74,200) | Zapdot | |
 | Nurikabe World | $9.99 | 188 100% | 5.6k | $56k (exactly $56,344) | Hemisquare | |
 | Iridio | $19.99 | 87 86% | 2.6k | $52k (exactly $52,174) | KR Games | |
 | Tiny Garden | $12.99 | 108 85% | 3.2k | $42k (exactly $42,088) | Ao Norte | |
 | Elfie: A Sand Plan | $6.99 | 188 100% | 5.6k | $39k (exactly $39,424) | Pressed Elephant, Sol's Atelier | |
 | Toroban | $20.00 | 60 86% | 1.8k | $36k (exactly $36,000) | Hebert Games LLC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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