Do I ship it?

Games › Logic › Logic + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Logic game?

Logic + Magic

Of 121 developers who shipped a Magic Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 148 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $11k, ×24 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 148 games are announced against 70 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 148 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 121
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $839 → $719 → $1.1k → $898 → $539 → $629 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 121
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,746)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $11,334)
Developers, 2 yr 121
Released games 399
Announced 148
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 699 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.7k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. Nearly all of the 68 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 148 games are announced against 70 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Word Game 2022 · $6.2M AutoForge 2024 · EA · $329k Escape First Alchemist ⚗️ 2023 · $229k Logiart Grimoire 2024 · $201k LOLLIPOP! 2021 · $197k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Word Game older $34.99 5,930 93% 178k $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) Team9
AutoForge · EA older $24.99 439 86% 13k $329k (exactly $329,118) Siege Games
Escape First Alchemist ⚗️ older $9.99 764 82% 23k $229k (exactly $228,971) OnSkull Games
Logiart Grimoire older $19.99 336 94% 10k $201k (exactly $201,499) Jupiter Corporation
LOLLIPOP! older $4.99 1,318 75% 40k $197k (exactly $197,305) 430Games, __Ja__ga__imo__
Alchemist Simulator older $12.99 370 76% 11k $144k (exactly $144,189) Art Games Studio S.A.
Harmony's Odyssey older $14.99 308 92% 9.2k $139k (exactly $138,508) MythicOwl
Era of Miracles older $29.99 106 75% 3.2k $95k (exactly $95,368) Argentum Gaming
Personal Study · EA older $7.99 361 90% 11k $87k (exactly $86,532) ArcaneSpoon
Time Lock VR 2 older $12.99 170 88% 5.1k $66k (exactly $66,249) WR-VRG
Alchemist: Journey of the Soul $11.99 159 83% 4.8k $57k (exactly $57,192) OnSkull Games
Inkwellers $9.99 136 88% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) ScrumptiousSprouts sp. z o.o.
Keine's Expanding Class! $5.99 143 99% 4.3k $26k (exactly $25,697) HornyMelon
LA: Streets of Sorcery $14.99 56 89% 1.7k $25k (exactly $25,183) Bear in the Night
Yes, My Queen $12.99 50 82% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,485) Wall Spaghetti
Shards of the Realm $19.99 32 71% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Yevhen Rebrakov
Once Upon A Tile $17.99 21 85% 630 $11k (exactly $11,334) KnotHorn Studio
Occulto · EA $14.99 23 73% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Sirio Art Games
Charm Studies $4.99 68 95% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) NomnomNami
Realm $29.99 11 72% 330 $9.9k (exactly $9,897) Mighty Pixel Crew

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.