Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Pirates

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Pirate Logic game?

Logic + Pirates

Only 11 developers shipped a Pirate Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, New Yankee: Pirate Trap, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $270. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 8 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Pirates
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $210 → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Pirates: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 35
Announced 8
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Pirates
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Logic
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 76 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $630, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $2.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cleo - a pirate's tale older $14.99 705 98% 21k $317k (exactly $317,038) Christoph Schultz
Pirate Mosaic Puzzle. Caribbean Treasures older $14.99 28 82% 840 $13k (exactly $12,592) Creobit
Konkan Coast Pirate Solutions older $9.99 40 95% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) chapliboy
Arizona Rose and the Pirates' Riddles older $9.99 20 85% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Anawiki Games
Be a Pirate older $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Amfich
Solitaire Legend of the Pirates older $14.99 11 54% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Somer Games
Arizona Rose and the Pharaohs' Riddles older $9.99 16 68% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Anawiki Games
Loot Slider older $7.99 15 100% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Retrofied Games
Two Hour Escape Mystery: A Puzzling Voyage older $4.99 21 76% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Last Sun, LLC
Shell Shuffle · EA older $9.99 8 87% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Victorian Clambake
New Yankee: Pirate Trap $6.99 11 81% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Alawar Casual
Tile Tales: Pirate $5.99 11 100% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) NineZyme OÜ
Adventure Seekers: Lost to Sea Collector's Edition $11.99 5 20% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Do Games Limited
Hentai Elizabeth $0.99 31 87% 930 $921 (exactly $921) Cyber Keks
Pile Up, Pirate! $2.99 9 100% 270 $807 (exactly $807) Red Ridge Studio
Hidden Legends $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) 17Studio
Goblin Lands $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Hot Waffle Games
Soko Pirates $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Matrix Reliability
Heave Away Haul Away $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Rokem Games
Tactical Battles $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Franck Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.