Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Logic game?

Logic + Robots

Of 76 developers who shipped a Robot Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×325 the market median. Revenue is up 1160% on the market; 84 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 1160% on the market, 84 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 76
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $3.7k → $1.5k → $719 → $478 → $359 → $2.9k (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 76
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $5.3k (exactly $5,313)
Top 5% $204k (exactly $204,007)
Developers, 2 yr 76
Released games 215
Announced 84
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1160% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 7,324 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 44 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop
The Talos Principle: Reawakened $39.99 1,085 90% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,301,674) Croteam
Good Company older $24.99 1,480 73% 44k $1.1M (exactly $1,109,556) Chasing Carrots
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor older $19.99 1,758 78% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,054,273) Stray Fawn Studio
Main Assembly older $19.99 1,004 83% 30k $602k (exactly $602,099) Bad Yolk Games
Nucleares older $14.99 1,121 84% 34k $504k (exactly $504,114) Iván Marcelo Pretti
Mind Over Magnet $9.99 1,344 89% 40k $403k (exactly $402,797) Game Maker's Toolkit
The Signal State older $19.99 649 86% 19k $389k (exactly $389,205) Reckoner Industries
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena older $14.99 846 87% 25k $380k (exactly $380,446) GFX47
ACTION SANDBOX older $9.99 787 73% 24k $236k (exactly $235,864) Vona Soft
JOY OF PROGRAMMING - Software Engineering Simulator $17.99 378 76% 11k $204k (exactly $204,007) Prof. Scherer
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Tech Blast $39.99 90 92% 2.7k $108k (exactly $107,973) Galactic Geckon
Unusual and not safe experiments $29.99 86 89% 2.6k $77k (exactly $77,374) Galactic Geckon
Robot Detour $5.99 174 100% 5.2k $31k (exactly $31,268) Nozomu Games
Bytebond $11.99 73 89% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) DVD Unicorns
Electrogical $7.99 87 93% 2.6k $21k (exactly $20,854) kinjo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.