Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance Logic game?

Logic + Romance

Of 53 developers who shipped a Romance Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×5.3 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $58k, ×495 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 59 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 59 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 53
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.8k → $1.5k → $3.1k → $955 → $1.4k → $208 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 53
Bottom 30% $208 (exactly $208)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $4.7k (exactly $4,740)
Top 5% $59k (exactly $58,911)
Developers, 2 yr 53
Released games 310
Announced 59
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $0.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Dating Sim
Price point
$0.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $0.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 1,351 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $630, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. Nearly all of the 64 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Milfy City - Final Edition older $19.99 710 79% 21k $426k (exactly $425,787) ICSTOR
Stellar Code $24.98 448 97% 13k $336k (exactly $335,731) Fragaria
Rail of Möbius older $12.99 359 93% 11k $140k (exactly $139,902) PHOSEPO
Inverted Angel older $6.99 563 90% 17k $118k (exactly $118,061) SCIKA
Gensokyo:Presumption of Guilt~Pansies Before Dawn $14.99 250 92% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) 戏壤游戏(Xirang Games)
PumPum older $3.99 693 74% 21k $83k (exactly $82,952) Shmoops Games
봄이 오면 꽃이 피고 · EA older $34.99 66 93% 2.0k $69k (exactly $69,280) TeamOGM
Felix The Reaper older $9.99 217 80% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,035) Kong Orange
DANGO! older $4.99 405 51% 12k $61k (exactly $60,628) TheBoys, 430Games
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Paper Kite: Threads of Longing $9.99 138 94% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,359) 依露琳(武汉)品牌管理有限公司, 黎羽游戏
The Murder Hotel $19.99 62 91% 1.9k $37k (exactly $37,181) Wegenbartho Games
LA: Streets of Sorcery $14.99 56 89% 1.7k $25k (exactly $25,183) Bear in the Night
Liminal Border Part III $14.99 53 64% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Purple Software
XStoryPlayer $17.99 38 86% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) X-Moon Productions
Body Pay "OMG! The girl with the big titties is too hitting on me!" $4.99 117 73% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) Cheese Burger Studio
Snap & Grab $7.99 58 91% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,903) No Goblin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.