Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Logic game?

Logic + Faith

Only 11 developers shipped a Faith Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gensokyo:Presumption of Guilt~Pansies Before Dawn, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×237 the market median. Revenue is up 760% on the market; 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 760% on the market, 13 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $60 → $26k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,371)
Top 5% $112k (exactly $112,425)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 37
Announced 13
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 760% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Logic
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 86% positive over 578 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gensokyo:Presumption of Guilt~Pansies Before Dawn $14.99 250 92% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) 戏壤游戏(Xirang Games)
Keine's Expanding Class! $5.99 143 99% 4.3k $26k (exactly $25,697) HornyMelon
东方裁判梦~Rookie Attorney Legendry $4.99 96 63% 2.9k $14k (exactly $14,371) YEARS
Jesus Simulator $12.99 24 54% 720 $9.4k (exactly $9,353) VRCFORGE STUDIOS
Plum Blossom Divination older $4.99 46 86% 1.4k $6.9k (exactly $6,886) CSTG-小光
Altero older $6.99 31 90% 930 $6.5k (exactly $6,501) Sergio Schiavo
The Noble Quran $2.99 55 80% 1.7k $4.9k (exactly $4,934) Quran on Steam
The Holy City older $19.99 7 71% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Holy City VR, Nimrod Shanit, Sean Thoma… (Holy City VR, Nimrod Shanit, Sean Thomas Evans)
Escape Purgatory · EA older $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) JamBit Games
Fear of the Dark older $6.99 13 69% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) UltramarineGames
Screwball $12.99 5 80% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) Scott Tipton
Esau's World $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) The Good Trash
Skye's Repose · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Jimlad
Tone $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Realentlessly Hopeful, LLC
Dimensional Shift Awakening $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Vincent Santos Valdez

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.