Do I ship it?

Games › Logic › Logic + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Logic game?

Logic + Aliens

Of 34 developers who shipped an Alien Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $670, ×1.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×248 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 40 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 40 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $238 → $1.7k → $1.3k → $3.1k → $598 → $2.5k (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $672 (exactly $672)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,994)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,741)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 118
Announced 40
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Hidden Object
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,611 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $670, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Infinifactory 2015 · $1.3M Machinika: Museum 2021 · $284k Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics 2019 · $215k Machinika: Atlas 2024 · $206k Space Accident VR 2025 · $118k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Infinifactory older $24.99 1,790 95% 54k $1.3M (exactly $1,341,963) Zachtronics
Machinika: Museum older $7.99 1,184 91% 36k $284k (exactly $283,805) Littlefield Studio
Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics older $19.99 358 75% 11k $215k (exactly $214,693) Tortuga Team
Machinika: Atlas $11.99 574 76% 17k $206k (exactly $206,468) Littlefield Studio
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Newton's Fourth Law · EA $11.99 224 93% 6.7k $81k (exactly $80,573) Newtonian Studios
Quarantine Circular older $5.99 432 88% 13k $78k (exactly $77,630) Bithell Games
The Last Cube older $19.99 129 96% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,361) Improx Games
Pyramids and Aliens: Escape Room $12.99 191 81% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,433) mc2games
Faraday Protocol older $19.99 100 84% 3.0k $60k (exactly $59,970) Red Koi Box
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
Future War Tactics: SOF vs Alien Invasion – Turn-Based Strategy $9.99 138 60% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,359) QuadCom Interactive
Drowned God: Conspiracy of the Ages. $6.99 34 70% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) Next Path Media, FSTR
Stellar Mess: Operation Kush (Chapter 2) $5.99 19 100% 570 $3.4k (exactly $3,414) Tibba Games
Hexitten $14.99 7 100% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Korkea Maki Studios
Professor Galaktionov Dawn of the Robopocalypse $4.99 20 65% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Retrohard Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.