Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Thriller

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Thriller Logic game?

Logic + Thriller

Of 92 developers who shipped a Thriller Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 116 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×2.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $400; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×543 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 116 games are announced against 57 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 116 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Thriller
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 92
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $8.4k → $1.4k → $1.7k → $1.3k → $5.8k → $599 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Thriller: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 92
Bottom 30% $400 (exactly $400)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,753)
Top 5% $258k (exactly $258,128)
Developers, 2 yr 92
Released games 190
Announced 116
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Thriller
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,895 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $400, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $5.7k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $400. 9 in 10 of the 46 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 116 games are announced against 57 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
Scene Investigators older $24.99 961 74% 29k $720k (exactly $720,462) EQ Studios
Staffer Retro : A Supernatural Mystery Quest $24.99 922 89% 28k $691k (exactly $691,223) Team Tetrapod
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
Agatha Christie - Death on the Nile $39.99 221 78% 6.6k $265k (exactly $265,134) Microids Studio Lyon
Post Trauma $14.99 574 72% 17k $258k (exactly $258,128) RED SOUL GAMES
Evan's Remains older $6.99 1,099 89% 33k $230k (exactly $230,460) maitan69
Spectral Scream older $9.99 654 78% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) STOIC Ent.
Escape: Malice older $7.99 815 17% 24k $195k (exactly $195,356) Nimbus Games
Mind Diver $17.99 316 94% 9.5k $171k (exactly $170,545) Indoor Sunglasses
The Ratline $14.99 329 82% 9.9k $148k (exactly $147,951) Owlskip Games
İblis3:Phenomena $12.99 252 56% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bulut ULU
Secrets of Blackrock Manor - Escape Room $9.99 222 80% 6.7k $67k (exactly $66,533) Biri Biri
Ire: A Prologue $19.99 77 61% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) ProbablyMonsters

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.