Do I ship it?

Games › Logic › Logic + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Logic game?

Logic + Science

Of 88 developers who shipped a Science Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 97 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $210. Revenue is up 105% on the market; 97 games are announced against 52 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 97 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 88
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.2k → $1.5k → $2.0k → $1.2k → $1.0k → $7.2k → $1.2k (still earning) → $779 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 88
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,230)
Top 5% $247k (exactly $247,045)
Developers, 2 yr 88
Released games 254
Announced 97
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Puzzle, Sandbox
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 8,896 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 97 games are announced against 52 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Talos Principle 2 2023 · $11M Stationeers 2017 · EA · $9.0M while True: learn() 2019 · $2.9M Mars First Logistics 2025 · $2.1M Mars Horizon 2020 · $1.7M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Talos Principle 2 older $29.99 12,478 94% 374k $11M (exactly $11,226,457) Croteam
Stationeers · EA older $34.99 8,597 88% 258k $9.0M (exactly $9,024,271) RocketWerkz
while True: learn() older $12.99 7,350 91% 221k $2.9M (exactly $2,864,295) Luden.io
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop
Mars Horizon older $19.99 2,757 84% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,653,373) Auroch Digital
SpaceChem older $9.99 2,626 95% 79k $787k (exactly $787,012) Zachtronics
Little Rocket Lab $19.99 1,286 90% 39k $771k (exactly $771,214) Teenage Astronauts
Botany Manor older $24.99 1,028 94% 31k $771k (exactly $770,692) Balloon Studios
Gravity Field older $29.99 778 79% 23k $700k (exactly $699,967) Kazakov Studios
The House of Tesla: Definitive Edition $24.99 836 72% 25k $627k (exactly $626,749) Blue Brain Games
Schrodinger's Cat Burglar $19.99 613 97% 18k $368k (exactly $367,616) Abandoned Sheep
Data Center $8.99 916 76% 27k $247k (exactly $247,045) Waseku
Machinika: Atlas $11.99 574 76% 17k $206k (exactly $206,468) Littlefield Studio
JOY OF PROGRAMMING - Software Engineering Simulator $17.99 378 76% 11k $204k (exactly $204,007) Prof. Scherer
Atomcraft $14.99 407 94% 12k $183k (exactly $183,028) Triplejump
Looking For Fael $19.99 165 98% 5.0k $99k (exactly $98,950) Swing Swing Submarine, La Poule Noire,… (Swing Swing Submarine, La Poule Noire, ARTE France)
Newton's Fourth Law · EA $11.99 224 93% 6.7k $81k (exactly $80,573) Newtonian Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.