Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Logic game?

Logic + Mythology

Of 31 developers who shipped a Mythological Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $780, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59; 1 in 20 cleared $80k, ×128 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 51 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 51 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $0 → $239 → $6.6k → $1.3k → $1.3k → $629 (still earning) → $779 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $779 (exactly $779)
Top 25% $5.9k (exactly $5,930)
Top 5% $80k (exactly $80,101)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 107
Announced 51
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,160 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $780, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $80k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy $49.99 3,558 92% 107k $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) Asobo Studio
Winter · EA older $29.99 340 73% 10k $306k (exactly $305,898) Frostfall Realms Studios
Munin older $4.99 925 82% 28k $138k (exactly $138,472) Gojira
1428: Shadows over Silesia older $19.99 201 72% 6.0k $121k (exactly $120,540) KUBI Games
Mosaic of The Pharaohs $8.99 297 92% 8.9k $80k (exactly $80,101) Mark Ffrench
Pestis older $24.99 88 77% 2.6k $66k (exactly $65,974) DIEDEMOR STUDIO GAMES
Faraday Protocol older $19.99 100 84% 3.0k $60k (exactly $59,970) Red Koi Box
Temple of the Green Moon $14.99 94 75% 2.8k $42k (exactly $42,272) OLKON GAMES
Kredolis older $9.99 83 54% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) Pharos Interactive
Guayota older $14.99 40 92% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Team Delusion
Drowned God: Conspiracy of the Ages. $6.99 34 70% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) Next Path Media, FSTR
Sokobos 2 $9.99 23 100% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Martin Games
Star and Serpent Solitaire $12.99 17 100% 510 $6.6k (exactly $6,625) Star and Serpent
小先生 Little ShiFu $6.24 32 34% 960 $6.0k (exactly $5,990) Liminal Factory
Erogoddess: Mirage $5.99 33 96% 990 $5.9k (exactly $5,930) Moobly
Little Lighthouse of Horror $2.99 62 85% 1.9k $5.6k (exactly $5,561) Codiwans
MY FATHER LIED $8.99 10 70% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) LUNAR GAMES LTD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.