Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Logic game?

Logic + Space

Of 106 developers who shipped a Space Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 132 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $31k, ×51 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 132 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 132 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 106
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $1.5k → $1.9k → $839 → $629 → $838 → $1.2k (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 106
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,148)
Top 5% $32k (exactly $31,955)
Developers, 2 yr 106
Released games 324
Announced 132
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,178 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $31k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 60 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 132 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stationeers · EA older $34.99 8,597 88% 258k $9.0M (exactly $9,024,271) RocketWerkz
Cobalt Core older $19.99 4,067 95% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,438,980) Rocket Rat Games
Mars Horizon older $19.99 2,757 84% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,653,373) Auroch Digital
Infinifactory older $24.99 1,790 95% 54k $1.3M (exactly $1,341,963) Zachtronics
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor older $19.99 1,758 78% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,054,273) Stray Fawn Studio
SpaceChem older $9.99 2,626 95% 79k $787k (exactly $787,012) Zachtronics
Stellar Code $24.98 448 97% 13k $336k (exactly $335,731) Fragaria
Filament older $16.99 623 86% 19k $318k (exactly $317,543) Beard Envy
Microcosmum: survival of cells older $7.99 1,117 80% 34k $268k (exactly $267,745) Satur Entertainment
Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics older $19.99 358 75% 11k $215k (exactly $214,693) Tortuga Team
Machinika: Atlas $11.99 574 76% 17k $206k (exactly $206,468) Littlefield Studio
Code: Terraform · EA $14.99 252 85% 7.6k $113k (exactly $113,324) AppsMafia
The Art of Reflection $17.99 151 97% 4.5k $81k (exactly $81,495) Hydrozoa
I Fetch Rocks $15.99 110 94% 3.3k $53k (exactly $52,767) SarumXR
Legitimate Space Corp Simulator LLC $12.99 82 69% 2.5k $32k (exactly $31,955) VHornet Games
4D Intuition $14.99 67 100% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) Yu Gu (yugu233)
Flux Empyrean $14.99 63 95% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,331) ChillCash
Zup! Y $1.99 385 91% 12k $23k (exactly $22,984) Quiet River
StarbaseSim · EA $16.37 46 93% 1.4k $23k (exactly $22,591) AshtorakSimGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.