Do I ship it?

Games › Logic › Logic + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Logic game?

Logic + Futuristic

Of 139 developers who shipped a Futuristic Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 197 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $820, ×1.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $95k, ×202 the market median. Revenue is up 225% on the market; 197 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 225% on the market, 197 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 139
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.6k → $897 → $419 → $672 → $898 → $1.2k (still earning) → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 139
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $822 (exactly $822)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,341)
Top 5% $96k (exactly $95,786)
Developers, 2 yr 139
Released games 419
Announced 197
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.10

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 225% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$6.10 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.10.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 18,202 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $820, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $95k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 85 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 197 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

shapez 2 - Factory 2026 · $12M The Talos Principle: Reawakened 2025 · $1.3M Submachine: Legacy 2023 · $960k Scene Investigators 2023 · $720k Modulus: Factory Automation 2026 · $613k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
shapez 2 - Factory $29.99 13,846 96% 415k $12M (exactly $12,457,246) tobspr Games
The Talos Principle: Reawakened $39.99 1,085 90% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,301,674) Croteam
Submachine: Legacy older $24.99 1,281 98% 38k $960k (exactly $960,366) Mateusz Skutnik
Scene Investigators older $24.99 961 74% 29k $720k (exactly $720,462) EQ Studios
Modulus: Factory Automation $24.99 817 90% 25k $613k (exactly $612,505) Happy Volcano
Lightmatter older $19.99 691 94% 21k $414k (exactly $414,393) Tunnel Vision Games
The Signal State older $19.99 649 86% 19k $389k (exactly $389,205) Reckoner Industries
Stellar Code $24.98 448 97% 13k $336k (exactly $335,731) Fragaria
Machinika: Museum older $7.99 1,184 91% 36k $284k (exactly $283,805) Littlefield Studio
The Solitaire Conspiracy older $11.99 742 89% 22k $267k (exactly $266,897) Bithell Games
Machinika: Atlas $11.99 574 76% 17k $206k (exactly $206,468) Littlefield Studio
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
U.V.S. Nirmana $14.99 213 88% 6.4k $96k (exactly $95,786) Coincidence
Technotopia $4.99 599 86% 18k $90k (exactly $89,670) Yustas
Newton's Fourth Law · EA $11.99 224 93% 6.7k $81k (exactly $80,573) Newtonian Studios
CIPHER ZERO $14.99 165 89% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) Zapdot

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.