Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Logic game?

Logic + Fantasy

Of 217 developers who shipped a Fantasy Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 297 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $64k, ×135 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 297 games are announced against 112 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 297 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 217
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $479 → $1.4k → $1.1k → $898 → $899 → $598 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 217
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,414)
Top 5% $64k (exactly $64,159)
Developers, 2 yr 217
Released games 720
Announced 297
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Strategy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 16,745 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $64k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 128 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 297 games are announced against 112 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy $49.99 3,558 92% 107k $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) Asobo Studio
Mind Over Magic $24.99 4,314 86% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) Sparkypants
Oddsparks: An Automation Adventure $29.99 1,867 82% 56k $1.7M (exactly $1,679,740) Massive Miniteam
Islands of Insight older $29.99 1,604 75% 48k $1.4M (exactly $1,443,119) Lunarch Studios
Train45 $10.99 3,823 97% 115k $1.3M (exactly $1,260,443) Elniko
Last Room older $29.99 953 73% 29k $857k (exactly $857,414) Quantum Forge Studios
Gravity Field older $29.99 778 79% 23k $700k (exactly $699,967) Kazakov Studios
Is this Game Trying to Kill Me? $14.99 1,513 95% 45k $680k (exactly $680,396) Stately Snail
HUMANITY older $29.99 488 92% 15k $439k (exactly $439,054) tha ltd., Enhance
GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) older $9.99 1,266 54% 38k $379k (exactly $379,420) CD PROJEKT RED
The Holy Gosh Darn $19.99 276 96% 8.3k $166k (exactly $165,517) Perfectly Paranormal
Poke ALL Toads $11.99 447 100% 13k $161k (exactly $160,786) SpaceMatra
Queens Casino $9.99 311 98% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) sartahouse
River Towns $14.99 184 89% 5.5k $83k (exactly $82,745) Frogsong Studios
Lure Of Passion $5.99 452 89% 14k $81k (exactly $81,224) Snakerser's Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.