Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Logic game?

Logic + Demons

Of 45 developers who shipped a Demon Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $71k, ×150 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 36 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 36 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $2.1k → $538 → $2.1k → $535 → $2.3k (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $238 (exactly $238)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 5% $71k (exactly $71,431)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 127
Announced 36
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Hidden Object
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,793 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $600, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $71k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demons' Timeline $10.99 1,046 97% 31k $345k (exactly $344,866) DigitalCats
I'm on Observation Duty 6 older $11.99 652 94% 20k $235k (exactly $234,524) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
Spectral Scream older $9.99 654 78% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) STOIC Ent.
1428: Shadows over Silesia older $19.99 201 72% 6.0k $121k (exactly $120,540) KUBI Games
İblis3:Phenomena $12.99 252 56% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bulut ULU
Era of Miracles older $29.99 106 75% 3.2k $95k (exactly $95,368) Argentum Gaming
Personal Study · EA older $7.99 361 90% 11k $87k (exactly $86,532) ArcaneSpoon
Dream Cage $7.99 298 63% 8.9k $71k (exactly $71,431) Hitori De Productions
Rabbit Riot older $39.99 49 87% 1.5k $59k (exactly $58,785) Reactor Studios
Welcome to Doll Town $4.99 351 42% 11k $53k (exactly $52,545) Bad Wish Games
Temple of the Green Moon $14.99 94 75% 2.8k $42k (exactly $42,272) OLKON GAMES
Rehaunted $7.99 172 66% 5.2k $41k (exactly $41,228) Cauchemar
Para Eyes $9.99 133 95% 4.0k $40k (exactly $39,860) Shawno Studios
Spooky Express $14.99 80 98% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Draknek and Friends
Paragnosia $3.99 228 92% 6.8k $27k (exactly $27,292) Sine Coda
Paragnosia: Museum $5.99 139 87% 4.2k $25k (exactly $24,978) Sine Coda

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.