Do I ship it?

Games › Logic › Logic + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War Logic game?

Logic + War

Only 17 developers shipped a War Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $7.9M, ×12680 the market median. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 350% on the market, 34 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $297 → $300 → $478 → $3.9k → $3.6k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 5% $8.0M (exactly $7,962,817)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 69
Announced 34
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action, Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 13,607 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $7.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

XCOM® 2 2016 · $48M IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator 2026 · $8.0M Europa Universalis III Complete 2009 · $617k Save Room - Organization Puzzle 2022 · $182k Fire & Maneuver 2023 · $84k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
XCOM® 2 older $19.99 79,998 84% 2.4M $48M (exactly $47,974,801) Firaxis Games, Feral Interactive (Mac),… (Firaxis Games, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator $19.99 13,278 97% 398k $8.0M (exactly $7,962,817) Nick Nieuwoudt, Dominik Latos
Europa Universalis III Complete older $14.99 1,372 85% 41k $617k (exactly $616,988) Paradox Development Studio
Save Room - Organization Puzzle older $2.99 2,033 97% 61k $182k (exactly $182,360) Fractal Projects
Fire & Maneuver older $9.99 281 68% 8.4k $84k (exactly $84,216) Armchair Interactive, Targon Studios
How 2 Escape: Lost Submarine $12.99 161 83% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Breakfirst Games
The Last Shot older $9.99 95 86% 2.9k $28k (exactly $28,472) Rumata Lab
3D Chess older $4.99 130 52% 3.9k $19k (exactly $19,461) bumblebee
Code Romantic older $9.99 53 96% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,884) prettysmart games
The Mythical City 4 older $49.99 10 100% 300 $15k (exactly $14,997) Gamesforgames
Just Skill Shooter 4 $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
The Noble Quran $2.99 55 80% 1.7k $4.9k (exactly $4,934) Quran on Steam
Briefcase $3.99 39 100% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) Yuri Antunes
Fastro Dude $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Emoji Wars $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Total
Dangerous line $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Gamesforgames
Dark Times $3.99 17 94% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) Gromov Studio
Eon Empires $9.99 4 50% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Aeonforge Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.