Games › Logic › Logic + Trains
Should I ship a Train Logic game?
Logic + Trains
Only 19 developers shipped a Train Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Oddsparks: An Automation Adventure, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×5.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×2675 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 19 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.1k (exactly $3,146) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $15,978) |
| Top 5% | $1.7M (exactly $1,679,740) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Logic; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Automation, Building, Sandbox
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cozy, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,817 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LovecraftianFair
- + City BuilderFair
- + NoirFair
- + HackingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + DragonsFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Bullet TimeFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + TransportationFair
- + Automobile SimFair
- + CookingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Oddsparks: An Automation Adventure | $29.99 | 1,867 82% | 56k | $1.7M (exactly $1,679,740) | Massive Miniteam | |
| | Railbound | older | $12.99 | 1,818 94% | 55k | $708k (exactly $708,475) | Afterburn |
| | Subway Builder | $39.99 | 394 59% | 12k | $473k (exactly $472,682) | Colin Miller, EJ Fox, Curran Kelleher,… (Colin Miller, EJ Fox, Curran Kelleher, Nate Maue, Alex Wohlbruck, Piero Maddaleni, Brooks Flannery) | |
| | How 2 Escape | older | $12.99 | 684 71% | 21k | $267k (exactly $266,555) | Breakfirst Games |
| | Super Loco World - Cozy Train Automation | $9.99 | 329 76% | 9.9k | $99k (exactly $98,601) | Andrii Bychkovskyi | |
| | Train World | older | $34.99 | 85 75% | 2.6k | $89k (exactly $89,224) | Turn Point Games |
| | Train Yard Builder | older | $19.99 | 100 71% | 3.0k | $60k (exactly $59,970) | GameFormatic S.A. |
| | Spooky Express | $14.99 | 80 98% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $35,976) | Draknek and Friends | |
| | Railway Islands - Puzzle | older | $3.99 | 230 94% | 6.9k | $28k (exactly $27,531) | Rising Moon Games |
| | Railroad Ink Challenge | older | $7.99 | 88 82% | 2.6k | $21k (exactly $21,094) | Horrible Guild |
| | Mysteries of Old Tokyo | $12.99 | 41 100% | 1.2k | $16k (exactly $15,978) | Bolerosoft | |
| | Stoplights | $8.99 | 39 89% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $10,518) | Wicked Blobfish | |
| | Trackastrophe! | $8.99 | 29 100% | 870 | $7.8k (exactly $7,821) | Kinoko Studio | |
| | Railway Dispatcher | $12.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | たでぃまる | |
| | Metro Architect | · EA | $9.90 | 11 54% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,267) | Northern21 Studio |
| | Golden Rails: The heart of the state | $6.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $3.1k (exactly $3,146) | Alawar Casual |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.