Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Logic game?

Logic + LGBTQ+

Of 28 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×10 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $420. Revenue is up 100% on the market; 20 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 100% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $897 → $35k → $238 → $4.9k → $1.1k → $3.3k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $416 (exactly $416)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,200)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,180)
Top 5% $5.8M (exactly $5,817,090)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 111
Announced 20
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Choices Matter
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 42,220 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $5.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
The Roottrees are Dead $19.99 9,700 96% 291k $5.8M (exactly $5,817,090) Evil Trout Inc.
Squeakross: Home Squeak Home $14.99 2,045 98% 61k $920k (exactly $919,636) Alblune
Murder by Numbers older $14.99 1,152 85% 35k $518k (exactly $518,054) Mediatonic
Milfy City - Final Edition older $19.99 710 79% 21k $426k (exactly $425,787) ICSTOR
Quilts and Cats of Calico older $19.99 405 93% 12k $243k (exactly $242,878) Monster Couch
BroomSweeper $17.99 193 75% 5.8k $104k (exactly $104,162) BandsWithLegends
Personal Study · EA older $7.99 361 90% 11k $87k (exactly $86,532) ArcaneSpoon
Puzzle Spy International $12.50 148 91% 4.4k $56k (exactly $55,500) Travel-Friendly Cake
Detective Ridelle older $14.99 77 98% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) PuzzLab
LA: Streets of Sorcery $14.99 56 89% 1.7k $25k (exactly $25,183) Bear in the Night
Charm Studies $4.99 68 95% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) NomnomNami
Locktale $7.99 30 83% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) Mina Pêcheux
Social Caterpillar $4.99 47 100% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Twelve Tiles
Minesweeper Together $2.99 64 95% 1.9k $5.7k (exactly $5,741) anchikai

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.