Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Logic game?

Logic + Artificial Intelligence

Of 71 developers who shipped an AI Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 86 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $60. Revenue is flat on the market; 86 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 86 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 71
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $419 → $1.5k → $1.2k → $898 → $898 → $386 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 71
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,741)
Developers, 2 yr 71
Released games 255
Announced 86
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 155% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Logic; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Strategy
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 11,685 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 86 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
while True: learn() older $12.99 7,350 91% 221k $2.9M (exactly $2,864,295) Luden.io
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
The Talos Principle: Reawakened $39.99 1,085 90% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,301,674) Croteam
Main Assembly older $19.99 1,004 83% 30k $602k (exactly $602,099) Bad Yolk Games
Nucleares older $14.99 1,121 84% 34k $504k (exactly $504,114) Iván Marcelo Pretti
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena older $14.99 846 87% 25k $380k (exactly $380,446) GFX47
ACTION SANDBOX older $9.99 787 73% 24k $236k (exactly $235,864) Vona Soft
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Inverted Angel older $6.99 563 90% 17k $118k (exactly $118,061) SCIKA
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Party Quiz $11.99 147 80% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) White Ink
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
60 Minutes to Extinction: Escape Room $7.99 153 82% 4.6k $37k (exactly $36,674) mc2games
Wet Passion $4.99 195 81% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,192) FlirtFit Studios
Trans Neuronica $9.99 51 90% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) Evidently Cube
Total Reload $19.99 24 95% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) TORSHOCK

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.