Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic Logic game?

Logic + Gothic

Only 15 developers shipped a Gothic Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Magical Girl Witch Trials, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $26M, ×56575 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 27 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $2.4k → $2.1k
Outcomes for Logic + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Top 25% $53k (exactly $52,545)
Top 5% $27M (exactly $26,873,139)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 31
Announced 27
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Logic
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 32,220 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $52k, 1 in 20 over $26M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
Trainee Death Simulator $5.99 1,746 92% 52k $314k (exactly $313,756) Bone Nail
Gloomy Eyes $24.99 155 94% 4.7k $116k (exactly $116,204) Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fi… (Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fishing Cactus, ARTE France)
Welcome to Doll Town $4.99 351 42% 11k $53k (exactly $52,545) Bad Wish Games
Mad Experiments: Escape Room - Sanctuary $6.99 47 65% 1.4k $9.9k (exactly $9,856) PlayTogether Studio
Dream Alone older $9.99 29 51% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) Play2Chill
Club Soko $13.99 18 100% 540 $7.6k (exactly $7,555) Miracle Tea
THE ILLUSION: CURSE older $19.99 9 55% 270 $5.4k (exactly $5,397) Raven Games
THE ILLUSION: NIGHTMARE older $19.99 8 37% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Raven Games
The Other Side: Tower of Souls Remaster older $6.99 13 61% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Tiki's Lab
Gloomy Tales: Hotel Frightsylvania Collector’s Edition $8.99 9 44% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) Do Games Limited
Prince of Darkness Jr. $4.99 15 100% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) Pond Area
Resonant Dusk $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Verdite Interactive
Wolftown $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Portponky

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.