Do I ship it?

Games › Logic › Logic + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Logic game?

Logic + Psychological Horror

Of 168 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 200 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×323 the market median. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 200 games are announced against 85 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 200 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 168
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $2.1k → $1.5k → $1.3k → $1.3k → $718 → $1.1k (still earning) → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 168
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,287)
Top 5% $153k (exactly $153,232)
Developers, 2 yr 168
Released games 412
Announced 200
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 43,922 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $900, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 93 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 200 games are announced against 85 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Magical Girl Witch Trials 2025 · $27M Patrick's Parabox 2022 · $3.0M The Incident at Galley House 2026 · $2.5M SHENZHEN I/O 2016 · $1.7M THE 4 SINS 2024 · $1.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
Patrick's Parabox older $19.99 4,985 99% 150k $3.0M (exactly $2,989,504) Patrick Traynor
The Incident at Galley House $19.99 4,087 94% 123k $2.5M (exactly $2,450,974) William Rous, Evil Trout Inc.
SHENZHEN I/O older $14.99 3,746 95% 112k $1.7M (exactly $1,684,576) Zachtronics
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
CaseCracker older $9.99 3,314 89% 99k $993k (exactly $993,206) BlackRobe
Zup! S older $1.99 15,168 96% 455k $906k (exactly $905,530) Quiet River
TIS-100 older $6.99 3,391 97% 102k $711k (exactly $711,093) Zachtronics
Is this Game Trying to Kill Me? $14.99 1,513 95% 45k $680k (exactly $680,396) Stately Snail
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
ORDER 13 $8.99 1,224 87% 37k $330k (exactly $330,113) Cybernetic Walrus
The Cabin Factory $2.99 3,455 90% 104k $310k (exactly $309,914) International Cat Studios
Post Trauma $14.99 574 72% 17k $258k (exactly $258,128) RED SOUL GAMES
ADEN $8.99 670 96% 20k $181k (exactly $180,699) takayakata
I'm on Observation Duty 7 $11.99 426 93% 13k $153k (exactly $153,232) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
Lingo 2 $9.99 443 93% 13k $133k (exactly $132,767) Brenton Wildes

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.