Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Logic game?

Logic + Modern

Of 78 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $59. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 65 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 65 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 78
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $2.8k → $358 → $1.6k → $359 → $1.2k → $150 (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 78
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,625)
Top 5% $89k (exactly $88,591)
Developers, 2 yr 78
Released games 193
Announced 65
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Puzzle, Management
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 3,122 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $900, 1 in 4 over $6.6k, 1 in 20 over $88k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Judgment older $39.99 9,407 93% 282k $11M (exactly $11,285,578) RGG Studio
Lost Judgment older $39.99 7,461 93% 224k $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) RGG Studio
Scene Investigators older $24.99 961 74% 29k $720k (exactly $720,462) EQ Studios
Nucleares older $14.99 1,121 84% 34k $504k (exactly $504,114) Iván Marcelo Pretti
Milfy City - Final Edition older $19.99 710 79% 21k $426k (exactly $425,787) ICSTOR
Demons' Timeline $10.99 1,046 97% 31k $345k (exactly $344,866) DigitalCats
Worldwide Rush $19.99 559 77% 17k $335k (exactly $335,232) Memel Games
The Solitaire Conspiracy older $11.99 742 89% 22k $267k (exactly $266,897) Bithell Games
Tiny Room Stories: Town Mystery older $9.99 812 86% 24k $243k (exactly $243,356) Kiary Games
Glass Masquerade 3: Honeylines older $4.99 1,146 89% 34k $172k (exactly $171,556) Onyx Lute
A Case of Fraud $8.99 540 97% 16k $146k (exactly $145,638) Hesperus Games
Check Inn $14.99 197 84% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) KishMish Games
CIPHER ZERO $14.99 165 89% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) Zapdot
Device Doctor Simulator 2024 $9.99 186 62% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) Tenacity Games
Decide 4 God $29.99 49 93% 1.5k $44k (exactly $44,085) Miracle Moon
The Murder Hotel $19.99 62 91% 1.9k $37k (exactly $37,181) Wegenbartho Games
Paragnosia $3.99 228 92% 6.8k $27k (exactly $27,292) Sine Coda
Model Kit Shop Simulator $9.99 90 87% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) Tenacity Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.