Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Battle Royale

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Battle Royale?

Battle Royale

Of 187 developers who shipped a Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 475 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 97 developers shipped in the last year and 475 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 475 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 187
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $570 → $1.2k → $390 → $300 → $1.1k → $239 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 187
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $175k (exactly $174,814)
Developers, 2 yr 187
Released games 947
Announced 475
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 32%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 62% positive over 333,416 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 165 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 475 games are announced against 97 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Battle Royale

74 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Battle Royale + Immersive Sim Fair $2.4k 13 devs
  2. Battle Royale + Loot Poor odds $4.3k 9 devs
  3. Battle Royale + Sports Poor odds $3.8k 18 devs
  4. Battle Royale + Hero Shooter Poor odds $3.6k 9 devs
  5. Battle Royale + Dungeon Crawler Poor odds $3.2k 14 devs
  6. Battle Royale + Puzzle Poor odds $3.2k 14 devs
  7. Battle Royale + Co-op Poor odds $1.3k 34 devs
  8. Battle Royale + Sandbox Poor odds $1.2k 7 devs
  9. Battle Royale + 4 Player Local Poor odds $898 17 devs
  10. Battle Royale + Roguelite Poor odds $748 14 devs
  11. Battle Royale + Combat Racing Poor odds $719 14 devs
  12. Battle Royale + Arena Shooter Poor odds $599 36 devs
  13. Battle Royale + FPS Poor odds $599 28 devs
  14. Battle Royale + Physics Poor odds $359 26 devs
  15. Battle Royale + Local Multiplayer Poor odds $269 24 devs
  16. Battle Royale + MOBA Dead $16k 4 devs
  17. Battle Royale + Choose Your Own Adventure Dead $6.0k 8 devs
  18. Battle Royale + Survival Horror Dead $5.4k 10 devs
  19. Battle Royale + Looter Shooter Dead $2.5k 4 devs
  20. Battle Royale + Gun Customization Dead $2.2k 2 devs
  21. Battle Royale + Crafting Dead $1.2k 4 devs
  22. Battle Royale + Spectacle fighter Dead $1.2k 5 devs
  23. Battle Royale + Local Co-Op Dead $958 10 devs
  24. Battle Royale + Score Attack Dead $629 5 devs
  25. Battle Royale + Wargame Dead $598 11 devs
  26. Battle Royale + Online Co-Op Dead $480 32 devs
  27. Battle Royale + Exploration Dead $480 17 devs
  28. Battle Royale + Open World Dead $480 13 devs
  29. Battle Royale + Driving Dead $480 10 devs
  30. Battle Royale + Building Dead $480 5 devs
  31. Battle Royale + Tactical Dead $479 22 devs
  32. Battle Royale + 2D Platformer Dead $479 12 devs
  33. Battle Royale + PvP Dead $449 113 devs
  34. Battle Royale + Third-Person Shooter Dead $449 29 devs
  35. Battle Royale + Roguelike Dead $449 12 devs
  36. Battle Royale + Action Roguelike Dead $390 17 devs
  37. Battle Royale + Character Customization Dead $359 32 devs
  38. Battle Royale + RPG Dead $359 32 devs
  39. Battle Royale + Stealth Dead $359 9 devs
  40. Battle Royale + PvE Dead $330 37 devs
  41. Battle Royale + 2D Fighter Dead $330 14 devs
  42. Battle Royale + Action Dead $300 145 devs
  43. Battle Royale + Combat Dead $300 59 devs
  44. Battle Royale + Simulation Dead $300 30 devs
  45. Battle Royale + Bullet Hell Dead $300 17 devs
  46. Battle Royale + Choices Matter Dead $300 12 devs
  47. Battle Royale + Vehicular Combat Dead $300 9 devs
  48. Battle Royale + Destruction Dead $300 7 devs
  49. Battle Royale + Procedural Generation Dead $300 7 devs
  50. Battle Royale + Arcade Dead $240 49 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Battlefield™ 6 2025 · $620M Battlefield™ V 2020 · $355M Hunt: Showdown 1896 2019 · $192M Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 2023 · $78M Mistfall Hunter 2026 · $12M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 6 $69.99 295,442 63% 8.9M $620M (exactly $620,339,567) Battlefield Studios
Battlefield™ V older $49.99 236,709 70% 7.1M $355M (exactly $354,992,487) DICE
Hunt: Showdown 1896 older $29.99 213,023 74% 6.4M $192M (exactly $191,656,793) Crytek
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® older $59.99 43,229 79% 1.3M $78M (exactly $77,799,231) Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studio… (Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studios, Raven Software)
Mistfall Hunter $24.99 16,045 53% 481k $12M (exactly $12,028,936) Bellring Games
SAND: Raiders of Sophie · EA $24.99 12,485 49% 375k $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) Hologryph, TowerHaus
Wildgate $29.99 5,032 77% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) Moonshot Games
Blazing Sails older $14.99 8,361 87% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,759,942) Get Up Games, Iceberg Interactive
Friends vs Friends older $9.99 10,860 83% 326k $3.3M (exactly $3,254,742) Brainwash Gang
Deceive Inc. older $19.99 4,755 84% 143k $2.9M (exactly $2,851,574) Sweet Bandits Studios
Last Remains · EA $19.99 914 51% 27k $548k (exactly $548,126) Earn Alliance
Final Sentence $9.99 1,095 84% 33k $328k (exactly $328,172) Button Mash
Evil School $7.99 1,058 92% 32k $254k (exactly $253,603) CineGame Interactive
Backpack Jianghu $13.99 565 80% 17k $237k (exactly $237,130) 背包工作室
SUPER BOMBERMAN COLLECTION $19.99 294 87% 8.8k $176k (exactly $176,312) RED ART GAMES
The Joker's Game $11.99 486 82% 15k $175k (exactly $174,814) All In Game Co., Limited

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.