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Should I ship a Wargame Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Wargame
Only 11 developers shipped a Wargame Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dawn of Anarchy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×27 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $600 against a market of $1.3k. 27 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $390 (exactly $390) |
|---|---|
| Median | $598 (exactly $598) |
| Top 25% | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) |
| Top 5% | $52k (exactly $52,462) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 47 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 90% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Wargame
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Wargame
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 182 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $390. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×27 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition | · EA older | $19.99 | 453 74% | 14k | $272k (exactly $271,664) | JOTASOFT STUDIOS |
| | Dawn of Anarchy | $13.99 | 125 84% | 3.8k | $52k (exactly $52,462) | Quacky Games | |
| | EarthRoyale | older | $7.99 | 170 85% | 5.1k | $41k (exactly $40,749) | Lizzycat / Lizabeth Gidlund |
| | SurvivalZ Battlegrounds | older | $1.99 | 266 64% | 8.0k | $16k (exactly $15,880) | RewindApp |
| | Winning Tactics | $9.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Summoner's Automata | $9.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Gamesforgames | |
| | RIP | · EA older | $9.99 | 13 46% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | INVERTED SOULS |
| | Ragdolls Playground: The Sandbox | older | $4.99 | 20 50% | 600 | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) | Janner |
| | Hentai Angel: Smite the Nazis | older | $1.99 | 42 78% | 1.3k | $2.5k (exactly $2,507) | DarkLight Studio |
| | Human Madness | older | $7.99 | 9 11% | 270 | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) | The One |
| | Periculum | $5.99 | 7 57% | 210 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | Kucki | |
| | Forest | $3.99 | 10 0% | 300 | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) | Ihor Lema | |
| | OutBreak: The Last Survivor | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Briant Entertainment | |
| | The Last Bug | $3.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | 苦柚Games | |
| | Forbidden zone | $4.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Karuna | |
| | Omega Luma : The First Battle | $12.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $390 (exactly $390) | Mavi Game Studios | |
| | Paper Planes | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Creekside Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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