Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Wargame

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wargame Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Wargame

Only 11 developers shipped a Wargame Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dawn of Anarchy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×27 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $600 against a market of $1.3k. 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 27 announced, ×27 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Wargame
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Wargame: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 5% $52k (exactly $52,462)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 47
Announced 27
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 90% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Wargame
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 182 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.2k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×27 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
EarthRoyale older $7.99 170 85% 5.1k $41k (exactly $40,749) Lizzycat / Lizabeth Gidlund
SurvivalZ Battlegrounds older $1.99 266 64% 8.0k $16k (exactly $15,880) RewindApp
Winning Tactics $9.99 14 78% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Summoner's Automata $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
RIP · EA older $9.99 13 46% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) INVERTED SOULS
Ragdolls Playground: The Sandbox older $4.99 20 50% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Janner
Hentai Angel: Smite the Nazis older $1.99 42 78% 1.3k $2.5k (exactly $2,507) DarkLight Studio
Human Madness older $7.99 9 11% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) The One
Periculum $5.99 7 57% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Kucki
Forest $3.99 10 0% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Ihor Lema
OutBreak: The Last Survivor $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Briant Entertainment
The Last Bug $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) 苦柚Games
Forbidden zone $4.99 3 0% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Karuna
Omega Luma : The First Battle $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Mavi Game Studios
Paper Planes · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Creekside Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.