Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Open World
Should I ship an Open World Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Open World
Only 13 developers shipped an Open World Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SAND: Raiders of Sophie, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 46 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $480 (exactly $480) |
| Top 25% | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 5% | $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 90 |
| Announced | 46 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 32%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Open World
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 49% positive over 12,595 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
Battlefield™ V 2020 · $355M 
Hunt: Showdown 1896 2019 · $192M 
SAND: Raiders of Sophie 2026 · EA · $9.4M 
Blazing Sails 2023 · $3.8M 
武侠乂 The Swordsmen X 2020 · $1.8M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Battlefield™ V | older | $49.99 | 236,709 70% | 7.1M | $355M (exactly $354,992,487) | DICE |
| | Hunt: Showdown 1896 | older | $29.99 | 213,023 74% | 6.4M | $192M (exactly $191,656,793) | Crytek |
| | SAND: Raiders of Sophie | · EA | $24.99 | 12,485 49% | 375k | $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) | Hologryph, TowerHaus |
| | Blazing Sails | older | $14.99 | 8,361 87% | 251k | $3.8M (exactly $3,759,942) | Get Up Games, Iceberg Interactive |
| | 武侠乂 The Swordsmen X | older | $24.99 | 2,415 46% | 72k | $1.8M (exactly $1,810,526) | 上海杜昂网络科技有限公司 |
 | Down To One | older | $4.99 | 1,606 35% | 48k | $240k (exactly $240,418) | Gadget Games |
 | Out of Reach: Treasure Royale | older | $14.99 | 337 58% | 10k | $152k (exactly $151,549) | Space Boat Studios |
 | GangV | VR & PC Battle Royale | · EA older | $14.99 | 337 60% | 10k | $152k (exactly $151,549) | raptor lab |
 | Hashiriya Drifter-Online Drift Racing Multiplayer (DRIFT/DRAG/RACING) | older | $1.99 | 1,337 68% | 40k | $80k (exactly $79,819) | Midnight Games |
 | Egress | older | $14.99 | 107 58% | 3.2k | $48k (exactly $48,118) | Fazan |
 | Vienkiemis | · EA | $12.99 | 44 100% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $17,147) | dssob, SMEIVIS |
 | CRAST | $5.99 | 14 35% | 420 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Qazaq Games Studio | |
 | Archipelago: Island Survival | $9.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | FrostFire | |
 | Hentai USSR | $0.99 | 39 87% | 1.2k | $1.2k (exactly $1,158) | Who We Are Games | |
 | OutBreak: The Last Survivor | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Briant Entertainment | |
 | SurrounDead Poly Construction | $15.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $480 (exactly $480) | LivingEveryday | |
 | SurrounDead Poly Japan Sakura | · EA | $15.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $480 (exactly $480) | LivingEveryday |
 | Forbidden zone | $4.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Karuna | |
 | DudeGo | $0.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | FussyCraft |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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