Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Combat Racing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Racing Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Combat Racing

Only 14 developers shipped a Combat Racing Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Code Velocity, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 32 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 10% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 32 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Combat Racing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $719 → $1.6k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Combat Racing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 5% $8.9k (exactly $8,880)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 58
Announced 32
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Combat Racing; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Action, Online Co-Op
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cartoony, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 152 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $720, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $8.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
GENSOU Skydrift older $23.99 561 88% 17k $404k (exactly $403,752) illuCalab
Shipped older $9.99 584 96% 18k $175k (exactly $175,025) Majorariatto
Hashiriya Drifter-Online Drift Racing Multiplayer (DRIFT/DRAG/RACING) older $1.99 1,337 68% 40k $80k (exactly $79,819) Midnight Games
Perfect Partner older $8.99 107 79% 3.2k $29k (exactly $28,858) RD Studio
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
Code Velocity $2.99 99 100% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) STIM GAMES
Zaacar · EA older $11.99 13 38% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Axoora
Chasers Dash & Bash $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Flipstar
CD-RUN older $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Quack Quack Games
Just Move Fall Dungeon Endless Abyss $15.99 8 50% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) daminggede
Car Guys $5.99 9 33% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Ruben Alcañiz
Carnage Battle Arena $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Boombit
Stealth Syndicate $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Vincent Lopes-Vicente
SUPER MARKET $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations… (Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations: Glitchy Applications Marvelously Executed Shoddily)
Bumper Brawlers $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Gyxos
Delivery Service : Courier $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) DW
BIG BALLS · EA $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) BIG BALL

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.