Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Local Co-Op

Only 10 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SUPER BOMBERMAN COLLECTION, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $960 against a market of $1.3k. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 17 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $958 (exactly $958)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $176k (exactly $176,312)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 36
Announced 17
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Local Co-Op
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 88% positive over 368 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $960, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SUPER BOMBERMAN COLLECTION $19.99 294 87% 8.8k $176k (exactly $176,312) RED ART GAMES
Hidden in Plain Sight older $5.99 922 99% 28k $166k (exactly $165,683) Adam Spragg
Mad Streets older $14.99 200 85% 6.0k $90k (exactly $89,940) Craftshop Arts Inc.
Perfect Partner older $8.99 107 79% 3.2k $29k (exactly $28,858) RD Studio
Fortress Challenge : Fort Boyard older $39.99 9 88% 270 $11k (exactly $10,797) Breakfirst
Too Many Weapons older $9.99 32 71% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Studio HK
Only Out $4.99 40 95% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Shark Studio
Go All Out older $9.99 18 61% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Blue Sunset Games
Nitronauts $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Bubble Rocket
Among Ass 2: Butt Warfare older $0.99 98 84% 2.9k $2.9k (exactly $2,911) Volens Nolens Games
Smokin Potions $7.99 5 80% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Sleeping Robot Games
Stealth Syndicate $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Vincent Lopes-Vicente
Party Party Time 3 $4.99 6 83% 180 $898 (exactly $898) SAT-BOX
Neon Knights $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) VHornet Games
Find your friends $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Not A Robot Games
TNT Bomb · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hard Shark Games
Cubiciousflage $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kubrick

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.