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Should I ship a Roguelike Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Roguelike
Only 12 developers shipped a Roguelike Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Iron Core: Mech Survivor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 27 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $5.3k (exactly $5,277) |
| Top 5% | $74k (exactly $73,814) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Roguelike
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Roguelike
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 70% positive over 429 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire 2020 · $364k 
SEX with HITLER 2 2022 · $120k 
Iron Core: Mech Survivor 2025 · $74k 
Touhou Brawl 2026 · $14k 
Zombie sanctuary: Ash 2023 · $13k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Who Wants To Be A Millionaire | older | $29.99 | 405 52% | 12k | $364k (exactly $364,378) | Appeal Studios, Balio Studio |
| | SEX with HITLER 2 | older | $9.99 | 402 86% | 12k | $120k (exactly $120,479) | Adolf Games |
| | Iron Core: Mech Survivor | $6.99 | 352 73% | 11k | $74k (exactly $73,814) | Soda Game Studio | |
| | Touhou Brawl | $11.99 | 39 51% | 1.2k | $14k (exactly $14,028) | FIVE DUCK GAMES | |
| | Zombie sanctuary: Ash | older | $69.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $13k (exactly $12,598) | 7miao game |
 | Up or Lava! | older | $4.99 | 41 68% | 1.2k | $6.1k (exactly $6,138) | Garden of Dreams |
 | Just Move:Clean City Messy Battle | $15.99 | 11 45% | 330 | $5.3k (exactly $5,277) | daminggede | |
 | HENTAI: NAZI GIRL | older | $1.99 | 84 84% | 2.5k | $5.0k (exactly $5,015) | DarkLight Studio |
 | Just Move Fall Dungeon Endless Abyss | $15.99 | 8 50% | 240 | $3.8k (exactly $3,838) | daminggede | |
 | Number One Rich | older | $5.99 | 19 36% | 570 | $3.4k (exactly $3,414) | BlackWhite |
 | War Job | $4.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Stupid games | |
 | Toilet Battle | $4.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | BBK | |
 | RogueRampage | $4.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | 7games | |
 | No Kings Tiny Defenders | $3.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | Doru.best | |
 | Infinity War Land | $1.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $179 (exactly $179) | 90E GAMES | |
 | SlimeIsland | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | ZHOU YANG |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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