Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Stealth

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Stealth Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Stealth

Only 9 developers shipped a Stealth Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Polygon Bit Battle Royale, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×7.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 37 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 37 announced, ×7.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Stealth
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Stealth: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $958 (exactly $958)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $27,872)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 32
Announced 37
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Stealth
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 6,061 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $360, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 37 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Deceive Inc. older $19.99 4,755 84% 143k $2.9M (exactly $2,851,574) Sweet Bandits Studios
Hidden in Plain Sight older $5.99 922 99% 28k $166k (exactly $165,683) Adam Spragg
Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!) older $19.99 188 81% 5.6k $113k (exactly $112,744) FREE STYLE, Inc., KONAMI
Polygon Bit Battle Royale $9.99 93 60% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Army Troop Studios
Hide & Chick older $4.99 48 64% 1.4k $7.2k (exactly $7,186) Eggs Studio
死亡禁地 The Dead Zone older $2.99 24 33% 720 $2.2k (exactly $2,153) 侍神娱樂
Moccoletti $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Consortium of Octopus
The Zone older $3.99 9 77% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Colossus Game Studio
Stealth Syndicate $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Vincent Lopes-Vicente
Save Us: Island Escape older $2.99 7 57% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Infunas Games
SHARKS · EA $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Ezone PTY LTD
The Night of Escape $3.99 3 0% 90 $359 (exactly $359) LiTang
1v1 Me $3.99 2 0% 60 $239 (exactly $239) A3 Industries, David Henry
Find your friends $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Not A Robot Games
Murder&Spies $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) navlikesbunnies
Hunted Hunter $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Athmos Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.