Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Action Roguelike

Only 17 developers shipped an Action Roguelike Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Last Man Sitting, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $390 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 36 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 36 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89 → $90 → $390 → $449 → $629 → $148 (still earning) → $4.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $390 (exactly $390)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,554)
Top 5% $107k (exactly $106,993)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 78
Announced 36
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Action Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arena Shooter, Bullet Hell
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 791 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $390, 1 in 4 over $4.5k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

SEX with HITLER 2 2022 · $120k Last Man Sitting 2026 · $107k Iron Core: Mech Survivor 2025 · $74k Touhou Brawl 2026 · $14k Zombie sanctuary: Ash 2023 · $13k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SEX with HITLER 2 older $9.99 402 86% 12k $120k (exactly $120,479) Adolf Games
Last Man Sitting $9.99 357 77% 11k $107k (exactly $106,993) DoubleMoose Games
Iron Core: Mech Survivor $6.99 352 73% 11k $74k (exactly $73,814) Soda Game Studio
Touhou Brawl $11.99 39 51% 1.2k $14k (exactly $14,028) FIVE DUCK GAMES
Zombie sanctuary: Ash older $69.99 6 66% 180 $13k (exactly $12,598) 7miao game
Hentai Mission Ukraine older $1.99 140 91% 4.2k $8.4k (exactly $8,358) Who We Are Games
Just Move:Clean City Messy Battle $15.99 11 45% 330 $5.3k (exactly $5,277) daminggede
Dirtnap · EA $7.99 19 84% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitr… (Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitroyale)
Smokyflex older $12.99 11 90% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Gamesforgames
Dragon Simulator Multiplayer older $0.99 84 72% 2.5k $2.5k (exactly $2,495) FreezeNova
Toilet Battle $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) BBK
LAPPY GAMES $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) WILL Co.,Ltd.
RogueRampage $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) 7games
Omega Luma : The First Battle $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Mavi Game Studios
PSI Masquerade Deadly Wonderland $10.99 1 0% 30 $330 (exactly $330) Mururunsoft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.