Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + 2D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Fighter Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + 2D Fighter

Only 14 developers shipped a 2D Fighter Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Backpack Jianghu, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $330 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 13 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + 2D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $1.3k → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + 2D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $330 (exactly $330)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 5% $237k (exactly $237,130)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 49
Announced 13
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, 2D Fighter
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 611 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $330, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Backpack Jianghu $13.99 565 80% 17k $237k (exactly $237,130) 背包工作室
LEGO® Brawls older $9.99 663 78% 20k $199k (exactly $198,701) Red Games Co.
Bounty Battle older $19.99 39 20% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dark Screen Games
Russian Drunken Boxers older $24.99 11 100% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Laush Dmitriy Segeevich
The Great Axe $19.99 13 84% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Gamesforgames
Go All Out older $9.99 18 61% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Blue Sunset Games
Hololive Fantasy Battle $13.00 11 90% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,290) G-Blossom
Moccoletti $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Consortium of Octopus
Street Racer older $10.99 5 40% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) Vivid Image
TactiCats $5.99 7 100% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) HungryDingo
Tank Fight $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Pixel_Gamer, TNT_MAN1111
PSI Masquerade Deadly Wonderland $10.99 1 0% 30 $330 (exactly $330) Mururunsoft
1v1 Me $3.99 2 0% 60 $239 (exactly $239) A3 Industries, David Henry
Battle Mayhem $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Sam Farnsley
Suds · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Honeybell Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.