Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Dungeon Crawler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dungeon Crawler Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Dungeon Crawler

Only 14 developers shipped a Dungeon Crawler Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mistfall Hunter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.2k, ×2.4 the market's $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $12M, ×8930 the market median. Revenue is up 6355% on the market; 30 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 6355% on the market, 30 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Dungeon Crawler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Dungeon Crawler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $3.2k (exactly $3,224)
Top 25% $9.7k (exactly $9,709)
Top 5% $12M (exactly $12,028,936)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 30
Announced 30
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 6355% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Dungeon Crawler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 54% positive over 16,776 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $3.2k, 1 in 4 over $9.7k, 1 in 20 over $12M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  10. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  11. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced
  12. + Combat RacingPoor odds14 devs · median $719 · 32 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mistfall Hunter $24.99 16,045 53% 481k $12M (exactly $12,028,936) Bellring Games
Backpack Jianghu $13.99 565 80% 17k $237k (exactly $237,130) 背包工作室
NIGHT CROW older $15.99 85 68% 2.6k $41k (exactly $40,774) Ge-Aivan
Huge Jaws older $24.99 23 65% 690 $17k (exactly $17,243) Piece Of Voxel
Touhou Brawl $11.99 39 51% 1.2k $14k (exactly $14,028) FIVE DUCK GAMES
Damsels in Distress $8.99 36 83% 1.1k $9.7k (exactly $9,709) Anime Mania
CipherMind $7.99 18 77% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Pigeon Games
Adventurer's Gambit: Dungeons of Fortune $12.99 11 81% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Astana Games
鬼灵的冒险GUILING's Adventure $1.99 54 94% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,224) 硅晶石工作室Sicrystal Studio
Among Ass 2: Butt Warfare older $0.99 98 84% 2.9k $2.9k (exactly $2,911) Volens Nolens Games
The Night of Escape $3.99 3 0% 90 $359 (exactly $359) LiTang
Dungeons Bomb $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) MARIOZY
Halls of the damned $0.99 4 25% 120 $119 (exactly $119) Team EX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.