Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Score Attack

Only 5 developers shipped a Score Attack Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hololive Fantasy Battle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $630 against a market of $1.3k. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 13 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $4.3k (exactly $4,290)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 36
Announced 13
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Score Attack
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $13.00 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 890 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $630, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $4.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Arkanoid - Eternal Battle 2022 · $73k NEKO ARENA 2021 · $27k Huge Jaws 2022 · $17k Anzeigen Simulator 2024 · EA · $8.8k Up or Lava! 2023 · $6.1k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Arkanoid - Eternal Battle older $9.99 245 66% 7.4k $73k (exactly $73,426) Pastagames
NEKO ARENA older $1.99 444 83% 13k $27k (exactly $26,507) Neko Cloud
Huge Jaws older $24.99 23 65% 690 $17k (exactly $17,243) Piece Of Voxel
Anzeigen Simulator · EA older $4.99 59 84% 1.8k $8.8k (exactly $8,832) SalsaShark Studios
Up or Lava! older $4.99 41 68% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) Garden of Dreams
Hololive Fantasy Battle $13.00 11 90% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,290) G-Blossom
OMICRON: Coronavirus Battlegrounds older $2.99 41 78% 1.2k $3.7k (exactly $3,678) CreaTeam
Food Delivery Battle older $3.99 19 89% 570 $2.3k (exactly $2,274) STP WORKS
Carnage Battle Arena $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Boombit
LAPPY GAMES $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) WILL Co.,Ltd.
RogueRampage $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) 7games
Delivery Service : Courier $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) DW

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.