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Should I ship an RPG Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + RPG
Of 32 developers who shipped an RPG Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 80 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 80 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 25% | $5.3k (exactly $5,277) |
| Top 5% | $254k (exactly $253,603) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 32 |
| Released games | 173 |
| Announced | 80 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3750% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- RPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Immersive Sim, Strategy
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Cute, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 6,855 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 80 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wildgate | $29.99 | 5,032 77% | 151k | $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) | Moonshot Games | |
| | 武侠乂 The Swordsmen X | older | $24.99 | 2,415 46% | 72k | $1.8M (exactly $1,810,526) | 上海杜昂网络科技有限公司 |
| | RUSSIA BATTLEGROUNDS | older | $2.99 | 3,788 77% | 114k | $340k (exactly $339,784) | Agafonoff |
| | Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition | · EA older | $19.99 | 453 74% | 14k | $272k (exactly $271,664) | JOTASOFT STUDIOS |
| | Evil School | $7.99 | 1,058 92% | 32k | $254k (exactly $253,603) | CineGame Interactive | |
| | SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 | older | $49.99 | 149 53% | 4.5k | $223k (exactly $223,455) | KONAMI |
| | The Joker's Game | $11.99 | 486 82% | 15k | $175k (exactly $174,814) | All In Game Co., Limited | |
| | Egress | older | $14.99 | 107 58% | 3.2k | $48k (exactly $48,118) | Fazan |
| | Eve of Souls: Static Pod | · EA older | $2.99 | 468 95% | 14k | $42k (exactly $41,980) | LighTea Fish Studio |
| | 惊险极速 | · EA older | $6.99 | 91 97% | 2.7k | $19k (exactly $19,083) | 个人 |
| | 烧尾宴 | $8.99 | 52 75% | 1.6k | $14k (exactly $14,024) | 有点正经 | |
| | Damsels in Distress | $8.99 | 36 83% | 1.1k | $9.7k (exactly $9,709) | Anime Mania | |
| | Code Velocity | $2.99 | 99 100% | 3.0k | $8.9k (exactly $8,880) | STIM GAMES | |
| | Only Out | $4.99 | 40 95% | 1.2k | $6.0k (exactly $5,988) | Shark Studio | |
| | Just Move:Clean City Messy Battle | $15.99 | 11 45% | 330 | $5.3k (exactly $5,277) | daminggede | |
| | Final Word Royale | $4.99 | 30 60% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | NyxWorks | |
| | Adventurer's Gambit: Dungeons of Fortune | $12.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $4.3k (exactly $4,287) | Astana Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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