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Should I ship a Crafting Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Crafting
Only 4 developers shipped a Crafting Battle Royale in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 13 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×12 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.2k against a market of $1.3k. 24 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $178 (exactly $178) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
| Top 5% | $9.6k (exactly $9,581) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Crafting
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Crafting
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 74% positive over 314 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 24 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×12 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
Retail Royale 2023 · $9.6k 
A Smithing Game 2026 · $9.5k 
Until Last Tomorrow 2023 · EA · $6.0k 
SOS Survival 2018 · $6.0k 
Lifeblood 2018 · EA · $3.6k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Retail Royale | older | $4.99 | 64 81% | 1.9k | $9.6k (exactly $9,581) | DarxDev |
| | A Smithing Game | $3.99 | 79 79% | 2.4k | $9.5k (exactly $9,456) | Zoteling | |
| | Until Last Tomorrow | · EA older | $24.99 | 8 75% | 240 | $6.0k (exactly $5,998) | BRDynamic Studios |
| | SOS Survival | older | $9.99 | 20 55% | 600 | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) | StudioFriends |
| | Lifeblood | · EA older | $14.99 | 8 37% | 240 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | Homage Studios |
 | Battle Tops | older | $3.99 | 19 89% | 570 | $2.3k (exactly $2,274) | Dylan |
 | Megacraft Hentai Battlegrounds | older | $0.99 | 57 77% | 1.7k | $1.7k (exactly $1,693) | Boom Team |
 | Ambulance Chauffeur Simulator 2 | older | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | · |
 | PIRATECRAFT | older | $0.99 | 44 61% | 1.3k | $1.3k (exactly $1,307) | Game for games |
 | Archipelago: Island Survival | $9.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | FrostFire | |
 | PSI Masquerade Deadly Wonderland | $10.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $330 (exactly $330) | Mururunsoft | |
 | The Hall That Devours | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | pengdong |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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