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Should I ship a Destruction Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Destruction
Only 7 developers shipped a Destruction Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Battlefield™ 6, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×20 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $1.3k. 20 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 25% | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 5% | $620M (exactly $620,339,567) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 85% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Destruction
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Destruction
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 67% positive over 545,877 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×20 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
Battlefield™ 6 2025 · $620M 
Battlefield™ V 2020 · $355M 
Friends vs Friends 2023 · $3.3M 
GigaBash 2022 · $1.5M 
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition 2022 · EA · $272k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Battlefield™ 6 | $69.99 | 295,442 63% | 8.9M | $620M (exactly $620,339,567) | Battlefield Studios | |
| | Battlefield™ V | older | $49.99 | 236,709 70% | 7.1M | $355M (exactly $354,992,487) | DICE |
| | Friends vs Friends | older | $9.99 | 10,860 83% | 326k | $3.3M (exactly $3,254,742) | Brainwash Gang |
| | GigaBash | older | $24.99 | 1,951 94% | 59k | $1.5M (exactly $1,462,665) | Passion Republic Games |
| | Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition | · EA older | $19.99 | 453 74% | 14k | $272k (exactly $271,664) | JOTASOFT STUDIOS |
 | Out of Reach: Treasure Royale | older | $14.99 | 337 58% | 10k | $152k (exactly $151,549) | Space Boat Studios |
 | OutRage: Fight Fest | older | $9.99 | 62 77% | 1.9k | $19k (exactly $18,581) | Hardball Games Ltd |
 | Fisti-Fluffs | older | $19.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | Playfellow Studio |
 | Nine Nights | older | $12.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $8.2k (exactly $8,184) | Li Hui |
 | Ragdolls Playground: The Sandbox | older | $4.99 | 20 50% | 600 | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) | Janner |
 | Carnage Battle Arena | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Boombit | |
 | Paper Planes | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Creekside Interactive |
 | Neon Knights | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | VHornet Games | |
 | Drone Fire | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | QplusQ | |
 | BlastLast | $6.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Alexoid Studio | |
 | Confection Combat | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Jonathan L Clark |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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