Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Looter Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Looter Shooter Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Looter Shooter

Only 4 developers shipped a paid Looter Shooter Battle Royale in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 13 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 38 more are announced, ×38 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.5k against a market of $1.3k. 38 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 38 announced, ×38 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Looter Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Looter Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $478 (exactly $478)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290)
Developers, 4 yr 13
Released games 37
Announced 38
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 43%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Looter Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 6,258 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $480, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $4.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×38 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Wildgate 2025 · $4.5M SEX with HITLER 2 2022 · $120k Furry Arena [18+] 2022 · $36k Among Ass 2: Butt Warfare 2021 · $2.9k CRAST 2025 · $2.5k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wildgate $29.99 5,032 77% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) Moonshot Games
SEX with HITLER 2 older $9.99 402 86% 12k $120k (exactly $120,479) Adolf Games
Furry Arena [18+] older $1.99 599 64% 18k $36k (exactly $35,760) Octo Games
Among Ass 2: Butt Warfare older $0.99 98 84% 2.9k $2.9k (exactly $2,911) Volens Nolens Games
CRAST $5.99 14 35% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Qazaq Games Studio
Megacraft Hentai Battlegrounds older $0.99 57 77% 1.7k $1.7k (exactly $1,693) Boom Team
Trap Arena older $1.99 27 62% 810 $1.6k (exactly $1,612) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
PolygonDuty older $5.00 8 25% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,200) ·
Bumper Tanks · EA older $5.99 6 83% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Arvis Games
No zombie land: Lucy older $1.99 15 40% 450 $896 (exactly $896) 2024-NGame
Forbidden zone $4.99 3 0% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Karuna
Gunpoint Gambit $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Robert Bogdan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.