Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Vehicular Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vehicular Combat Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Vehicular Combat

Only 9 developers shipped a Vehicular Combat Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SAND: Raiders of Sophie, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 28 announced, ×5.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Vehicular Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Vehicular Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 29
Announced 28
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Vehicular Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 50% positive over 12,900 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $9.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SAND: Raiders of Sophie · EA $24.99 12,485 49% 375k $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) Hologryph, TowerHaus
Rocket Bot Royale older $2.99 243 88% 7.3k $22k (exactly $21,797) Winterpixel Games
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
Zaacar · EA older $11.99 13 38% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Axoora
Food Delivery Battle older $3.99 19 89% 570 $2.3k (exactly $2,274) STP WORKS
Car Guys $5.99 9 33% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Ruben Alcañiz
Carnage Battle Arena $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Boombit
Nash Racing: Battle older $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Tank War Shooting Simulator older $0.99 26 73% 780 $772 (exactly $772) Yusuf Islam Seyhan, Samet Acar
Bumper Brawlers $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Gyxos
Paper Planes · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Creekside Interactive
motorcycle combat $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) QplusQ
Trail Racer $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Seoul Season
KingBattle · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ERDHub
Skyliners $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Skeleton Arm Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.