Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Procedural Generation

Only 7 developers shipped a Procedural Generation Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Adventurer's Gambit: Dungeons of Fortune, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $1.3k. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 16 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $4.3k (exactly $4,287)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 33
Announced 16
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Procedural Generation
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 546 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $300, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $4.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 16 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Soldat 2 · EA older $7.99 386 85% 12k $93k (exactly $92,524) Transhuman Design
Food Chain · EA older $7.99 69 59% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,539) Kozhakov
Waves of the Atlantide · EA older $11.99 15 86% 450 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Metaphore Games SAS
CD-RUN older $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Quack Quack Games
Adventurer's Gambit: Dungeons of Fortune $12.99 11 81% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Astana Games
Number One Rich older $5.99 19 36% 570 $3.4k (exactly $3,414) BlackWhite
Friendship Club · EA older $11.99 8 75% 240 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) Force Of Habit, Clockwork Cuckoo
AI Battle Royale Generator older $3.99 11 100% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) Kilz Knight
CHAT CHAMPIONS $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Fabio Biancarelli, FLEX$ Studios
PolyRoyale older $1.99 8 50% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Witte Studio
PSI Masquerade Deadly Wonderland $10.99 1 0% 30 $330 (exactly $330) Mururunsoft
Void Breach $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) fp32.ai LLC
Bald Guys · EA $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Kazooist LLC
Bouncy Escape $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Daniel Sitkiewicz
Pirate's Booty $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Awesome Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.