Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Loot
Should I ship a Loot Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Loot
Only 9 developers shipped a paid Loot Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mistfall Hunter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 23 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×3.2 the market's $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $12M, ×8930 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.3k (exactly $4,287) |
| Top 25% | $237k (exactly $237,130) |
| Top 5% | $12M (exactly $12,028,936) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $13.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 700% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 46%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Loot
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Loot
- Price point
- $13.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 10 games average 52% positive over 29,502 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + Combat RacingPoor odds
Comparable games
Mistfall Hunter 2026 · $12M 
SAND: Raiders of Sophie 2026 · EA · $9.4M 
Backpack Jianghu 2026 · $237k 
Out of Reach: Treasure Royale 2020 · $152k 
CUBE ROYALE 2023 · EA · $14k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mistfall Hunter | $24.99 | 16,045 53% | 481k | $12M (exactly $12,028,936) | Bellring Games | |
| | SAND: Raiders of Sophie | · EA | $24.99 | 12,485 49% | 375k | $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) | Hologryph, TowerHaus |
| | Backpack Jianghu | $13.99 | 565 80% | 17k | $237k (exactly $237,130) | 背包工作室 | |
| | Out of Reach: Treasure Royale | older | $14.99 | 337 58% | 10k | $152k (exactly $151,549) | Space Boat Studios |
| | CUBE ROYALE | · EA older | $9.99 | 47 93% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | Creature Factory |
 | run for money Hunter vs. Runner! Which side will you win!? | $29.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $4.5k (exactly $4,498) | INFINITY Co., Ltd. | |
 | Adventurer's Gambit: Dungeons of Fortune | $12.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $4.3k (exactly $4,287) | Astana Games | |
 | Robo-Worms | older | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Odd Squad Studios |
 | Loot Goblins | older | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | MIDNIGHT ENTERTAINMENT STUDIOS LLC |
 | Panic of the Apes | · EA | $1.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $179 (exactly $179) | Adam Weaver |
 | 骸亡禁决：Skeleton King | older | $1.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $179 (exactly $179) | 古德模型, goodmoxing |
 | Gunpoint Gambit | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Robert Bogdan | |
 | 进化岛：Jinhuadao | $16.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 古德模型, goodmoxing | |
 | Super Battle Royale | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Yile Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.