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Should I ship a Spectacle fighter Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Spectacle fighter
Only 5 developers shipped a Spectacle fighter Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Touhou Brawl, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.2k against a market of $1.3k. 15 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) |
| Top 25% | $4.3k (exactly $4,290) |
| Top 5% | $14k (exactly $14,028) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Spectacle fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Spectacle fighter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 69% positive over 568 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 15 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
The Wraith of the Galaxy 2023 · EA · $58k 
Soul Saber 2 2017 · $54k 
Food Chain 2020 · EA · $17k 
Touhou Brawl 2026 · $14k 
Russian Drunken Boxers 2021 · $8.2k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Wraith of the Galaxy | · EA older | $11.99 | 161 81% | 4.8k | $58k (exactly $57,912) | Whale Rock Games |
| | Soul Saber 2 | older | $9.99 | 180 59% | 5.4k | $54k (exactly $53,946) | Yamadaya |
| | Food Chain | · EA older | $7.99 | 69 59% | 2.1k | $17k (exactly $16,539) | Kozhakov |
| | Touhou Brawl | $11.99 | 39 51% | 1.2k | $14k (exactly $14,028) | FIVE DUCK GAMES | |
| | Russian Drunken Boxers | older | $24.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $8.2k (exactly $8,247) | Laush Dmitriy Segeevich |
 | Nine Nights | older | $12.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $8.2k (exactly $8,184) | Li Hui |
 | Go All Out | older | $9.99 | 18 61% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | Blue Sunset Games |
 | Hololive Fantasy Battle | $13.00 | 11 90% | 330 | $4.3k (exactly $4,290) | G-Blossom | |
 | OMICRON: Coronavirus Battlegrounds | older | $2.99 | 41 78% | 1.2k | $3.7k (exactly $3,678) | CreaTeam |
 | Taoist priest Yan | older | $4.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | XiGeHong |
 | Forest | $3.99 | 10 0% | 300 | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) | Ihor Lema | |
 | Bumper Brawlers | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Gyxos | |
 | CHAT CHAMPIONS | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Fabio Biancarelli, FLEX$ Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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