Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + FPS

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an FPS Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + FPS

Of 28 developers who shipped a paid FPS Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 103 more are announced, ×10 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 103 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×10 per shipper, while revenue is up 50% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 103 announced, ×10 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + FPS
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $2.1k → $180 → $719 → $449 → $4.2k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + FPS: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,309)
Top 5% $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 204
Announced 103
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 43%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, FPS; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 63% positive over 313,289 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $9.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 103 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×10 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Battlefield™ 6 2025 · $620M Battlefield™ V 2020 · $355M Hunt: Showdown 1896 2019 · $192M Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 2023 · $78M SAND: Raiders of Sophie 2026 · EA · $9.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 6 $69.99 295,442 63% 8.9M $620M (exactly $620,339,567) Battlefield Studios
Battlefield™ V older $49.99 236,709 70% 7.1M $355M (exactly $354,992,487) DICE
Hunt: Showdown 1896 older $29.99 213,023 74% 6.4M $192M (exactly $191,656,793) Crytek
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® older $59.99 43,229 79% 1.3M $78M (exactly $77,799,231) Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studio… (Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studios, Raven Software)
SAND: Raiders of Sophie · EA $24.99 12,485 49% 375k $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) Hologryph, TowerHaus
Wildgate $29.99 5,032 77% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) Moonshot Games
Blazing Sails older $14.99 8,361 87% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,759,942) Get Up Games, Iceberg Interactive
Friends vs Friends older $9.99 10,860 83% 326k $3.3M (exactly $3,254,742) Brainwash Gang
Contractors Showdown : ExfilZone older $19.99 3,353 68% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,010,794) Caveman Studio
STAND OUT VR : VR Battle Royale older $24.99 1,221 70% 37k $915k (exactly $915,384) raptor lab
Polygon Bit Battle Royale $9.99 93 60% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Army Troop Studios
Vienkiemis · EA $12.99 44 100% 1.3k $17k (exactly $17,147) dssob, SMEIVIS
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
Crab Game 2 $3.99 36 22% 1.1k $4.3k (exactly $4,309) Jeff
Quack Attack $9.99 14 71% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Illutrium
鬼灵的冒险GUILING's Adventure $1.99 54 94% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,224) 硅晶石工作室Sicrystal Studio
CRAST $5.99 14 35% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Qazaq Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.