Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Tactical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Tactical

Of 22 developers who shipped a Tactical Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 65 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 65 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Tactical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $119 → $60 → $598 → $179 → $2.4k → $0 (still earning) → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Tactical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $27,872)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 108
Announced 65
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 40%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Tactical; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Co-op
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 63% positive over 295,677 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $480, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Battlefield™ 6 2025 · $620M Hunt: Showdown 1896 2019 · $192M Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 2023 · $78M Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition 2022 · EA · $272k WARCANA 2024 · $226k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 6 $69.99 295,442 63% 8.9M $620M (exactly $620,339,567) Battlefield Studios
Hunt: Showdown 1896 older $29.99 213,023 74% 6.4M $192M (exactly $191,656,793) Crytek
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® older $59.99 43,229 79% 1.3M $78M (exactly $77,799,231) Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studio… (Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studios, Raven Software)
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
WARCANA older $16.99 443 62% 13k $226k (exactly $225,797) 1000 Orks
Out of Reach: Treasure Royale older $14.99 337 58% 10k $152k (exactly $151,549) Space Boat Studios
Polygon Bit Battle Royale $9.99 93 60% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Army Troop Studios
Rocket Bot Royale older $2.99 243 88% 7.3k $22k (exactly $21,797) Winterpixel Games
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
Borderwatch: Dark Armada older $9.99 55 83% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) Blackburne Games Yazılım A.Ş.
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
Revolver Gambit · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Welch Antony
Cat's Wars · EA $1.99 37 81% 1.1k $2.2k (exactly $2,209) Antelus Games
Ninjam! $8.99 8 87% 240 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) G-Blossom
Periculum $5.99 7 57% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Kucki
The Last Bug $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) 苦柚Games
Royale Battle $15.99 1 0% 30 $480 (exactly $480) ebc studios
Tropical Hop $15.99 1 0% 30 $480 (exactly $480) cls studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.