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Should I ship a Co-op Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Co-op
Of 34 developers who shipped a paid Co-op Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 89 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $4.5M, ×3361 the market median. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 89 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) |
| Top 25% | $4.5k (exactly $4,498) |
| Top 5% | $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 34 |
| Released games | 167 |
| Announced | 89 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 41%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Co-op
- effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Co-op; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Action, Online Co-Op
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoony, Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 63% positive over 301,189 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 89 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + Combat RacingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Battlefield™ 6 | $69.99 | 295,442 63% | 8.9M | $620M (exactly $620,339,567) | Battlefield Studios | |
| | Hunt: Showdown 1896 | older | $29.99 | 213,023 74% | 6.4M | $192M (exactly $191,656,793) | Crytek |
| | Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® | older | $59.99 | 43,229 79% | 1.3M | $78M (exactly $77,799,231) | Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studio… (Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studios, Raven Software) |
| | Wildgate | $29.99 | 5,032 77% | 151k | $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) | Moonshot Games | |
| | Blazing Sails | older | $14.99 | 8,361 87% | 251k | $3.8M (exactly $3,759,942) | Get Up Games, Iceberg Interactive |
| | Friends vs Friends | older | $9.99 | 10,860 83% | 326k | $3.3M (exactly $3,254,742) | Brainwash Gang |
| | Down To One | older | $4.99 | 1,606 35% | 48k | $240k (exactly $240,418) | Gadget Games |
| | LEGO® Brawls | older | $9.99 | 663 78% | 20k | $199k (exactly $198,701) | Red Games Co. |
| | Hidden in Plain Sight | older | $5.99 | 922 99% | 28k | $166k (exactly $165,683) | Adam Spragg |
| | Out of Reach: Treasure Royale | older | $14.99 | 337 58% | 10k | $152k (exactly $151,549) | Space Boat Studios |
| | Last Man Sitting | $9.99 | 357 77% | 11k | $107k (exactly $106,993) | DoubleMoose Games | |
| | Polygon Bit Battle Royale | $9.99 | 93 60% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | Army Troop Studios | |
| | Dusty Derby | · EA | $9.99 | 66 100% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $19,780) | Geniesoft Inc. |
| | Code Velocity | $2.99 | 99 100% | 3.0k | $8.9k (exactly $8,880) | STIM GAMES | |
| | GOKA Street | · EA | $4.99 | 44 86% | 1.3k | $6.6k (exactly $6,587) | Blay Games |
| | Only Out | $4.99 | 40 95% | 1.2k | $6.0k (exactly $5,988) | Shark Studio | |
| | run for money Hunter vs. Runner! Which side will you win!? | $29.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $4.5k (exactly $4,498) | INFINITY Co., Ltd. | |
| | Adventurer's Gambit: Dungeons of Fortune | $12.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $4.3k (exactly $4,287) | Astana Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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