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Should I ship an Exploration Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Exploration
Only 17 developers shipped an Exploration Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SAND: Raiders of Sophie, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 47 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $480 (exactly $480) |
| Top 25% | $4.3k (exactly $4,315) |
| Top 5% | $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 79 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Exploration
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Exploration; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Hidden Object, Loot
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 49% positive over 12,605 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
SAND: Raiders of Sophie 2026 · EA · $9.4M 
TramSim Munich - The Tram Simulator 2021 · $570k 
SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 2023 · $223k 
Out of Reach: Treasure Royale 2020 · $152k 
Egress 2019 · $48k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | SAND: Raiders of Sophie | · EA | $24.99 | 12,485 49% | 375k | $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) | Hologryph, TowerHaus |
| | TramSim Munich - The Tram Simulator | older | $34.99 | 543 67% | 16k | $570k (exactly $569,987) | ViewApp |
| | SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 | older | $49.99 | 149 53% | 4.5k | $223k (exactly $223,455) | KONAMI |
| | Out of Reach: Treasure Royale | older | $14.99 | 337 58% | 10k | $152k (exactly $151,549) | Space Boat Studios |
| | Egress | older | $14.99 | 107 58% | 3.2k | $48k (exactly $48,118) | Fazan |
 | NIGHT CROW | older | $15.99 | 85 68% | 2.6k | $41k (exactly $40,774) | Ge-Aivan |
 | HardPunch: Sex Plague | older | $11.99 | 51 41% | 1.5k | $18k (exactly $18,345) | by Cassandra |
 | Huge Jaws | older | $24.99 | 23 65% | 690 | $17k (exactly $17,243) | Piece Of Voxel |
 | 烧尾宴 | $8.99 | 52 75% | 1.6k | $14k (exactly $14,024) | 有点正经 | |
 | I Got Trapped in the Succubus's Dream! | older | $4.99 | 69 55% | 2.1k | $10k (exactly $10,329) | karaage catapult |
 | Damsels in Distress | $8.99 | 36 83% | 1.1k | $9.7k (exactly $9,709) | Anime Mania | |
 | run for money Hunter vs. Runner! Which side will you win!? | $29.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $4.5k (exactly $4,498) | INFINITY Co., Ltd. | |
 | CipherMind | $7.99 | 18 77% | 540 | $4.3k (exactly $4,315) | Pigeon Games | |
 | Archipelago: Island Survival | $9.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | FrostFire | |
 | OutBreak: The Last Survivor | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Briant Entertainment | |
 | SurrounDead Poly Construction | $15.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $480 (exactly $480) | LivingEveryday | |
 | SurrounDead Poly Japan Sakura | · EA | $15.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $480 (exactly $480) | LivingEveryday |
 | Omega Luma : The First Battle | $12.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $390 (exactly $390) | Mavi Game Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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