Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsTabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop game?

Tabletop

Of 1,003 developers who shipped a Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,255 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×3.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $60. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 1,255 games are announced against 644 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 1,255 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,003
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $1.3k → $807 → $719 → $449 → $564 → $358 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,003
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,698)
Top 5% $93k (exactly $93,207)
Developers, 2 yr 1,003
Released games 3,345
Announced 1,255
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Tabletop
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 104,278 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $93k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 509 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,255 games are announced against 644 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Tabletop

156 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Choose Your Own Adventure + Tabletop Poor odds $479 29 devs
  2. Card Game + Tabletop Poor odds $450 383 devs
  3. Turn-Based Strategy + Tabletop Poor odds $450 307 devs
  4. Turn-Based Tactics + Tabletop Poor odds $359 321 devs
  5. PvP + Tabletop Poor odds $359 260 devs
  6. PvE + Tabletop Poor odds $359 116 devs
  7. Immersive Sim + Tabletop Poor odds $359 48 devs
  8. Character Customization + Tabletop Poor odds $359 47 devs
  9. Trading + Tabletop Poor odds $359 13 devs
  10. Action Roguelike + Tabletop Poor odds $359 9 devs
  11. Tabletop + Sci-fi Poor odds $300 43 devs
  12. Tabletop + Detective Poor odds $299 28 devs
  13. Tabletop + Chess Poor odds $269 39 devs
  14. Grid-Based Movement + Tabletop Poor odds $239 60 devs
  15. Tabletop + Futuristic Poor odds $225 29 devs
  16. Mystery Dungeon + Tabletop Poor odds $150 11 devs
  17. Open World + Tabletop Dead $25k 8 devs
  18. Survival Horror + Tabletop Dead $3.5k 8 devs
  19. Agriculture + Tabletop Dead $1.5k 8 devs
  20. Trading Card Game + Tabletop Dead $450 62 devs
  21. Tower Defense + Tabletop Dead $446 15 devs
  22. Score Attack + Tabletop Dead $359 51 devs
  23. Life Sim + Tabletop Dead $359 31 devs
  24. Crafting + Tabletop Dead $359 27 devs
  25. Action-Adventure + Tabletop Dead $359 10 devs
  26. Action RPG + Tabletop Dead $359 5 devs
  27. Tabletop + Solitaire Dead $300 122 devs
  28. Tabletop + Cats Dead $299 36 devs
  29. Tabletop + Nature Dead $298 42 devs
  30. Tabletop + Word Game Dead $298 32 devs
  31. Tabletop + Spelling Dead $298 16 devs
  32. Physics + Tabletop Dead $270 55 devs
  33. Point & Click + Tabletop Dead $269 82 devs
  34. Tabletop + Idler Dead $269 69 devs
  35. Tabletop + Noir Dead $269 20 devs
  36. Arcade + Tabletop Dead $239 83 devs
  37. Tabletop + Incremental Dead $239 83 devs
  38. Party Game + Tabletop Dead $239 73 devs
  39. Tabletop + Dystopian Dead $239 17 devs
  40. Sports + Tabletop Dead $238 48 devs
  41. 3D Platformer + Tabletop Dead $210 38 devs
  42. Platformer + Tabletop Dead $210 22 devs
  43. Match 3 + Tabletop Dead $208 26 devs
  44. Puzzle + Tabletop Dead $179 253 devs
  45. Logic + Tabletop Dead $179 166 devs
  46. Rhythm + Tabletop Dead $179 8 devs
  47. Hidden Object + Tabletop Dead $150 25 devs
  48. Shooter + Tabletop Dead $150 7 devs
  49. Tabletop + Trivia Dead $143 22 devs
  50. Tabletop + Animals Dead $120 11 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tabletop Simulator older $19.99 46,875 95% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,110,937) Berserk Games
Pummel Party older $14.99 46,134 88% 1.4M $21M (exactly $20,746,460) Rebuilt Games
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
For The King older $19.99 31,038 87% 931k $19M (exactly $18,613,489) IronOak Games
UNO older $9.99 42,019 70% 1.3M $13M (exactly $12,593,094) Ubisoft Entertainment
Liar's Bar · EA $6.99 48,708 89% 1.5M $10M (exactly $10,214,068) Curve Animation
Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus older $29.99 11,279 91% 338k $10M (exactly $10,147,716) Bulwark Studios
For The King II older $24.99 12,708 71% 381k $9.5M (exactly $9,527,188) IronOak Games
Armello older $24.99 11,013 82% 330k $8.3M (exactly $8,256,446) League of Geeks
Ultimate General: Civil War older $29.99 8,331 88% 250k $7.5M (exactly $7,495,401) Game-Labs
Esoteric Ebb $24.99 8,719 95% 262k $6.5M (exactly $6,536,634) Christoffer Bodegård
Sunderfolk $49.99 1,890 93% 57k $2.8M (exactly $2,834,433) Secret Door
Demonic Mahjong $16.99 3,875 95% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,975,087) Boxed Lighting Games
Slots & Daggers $7.99 7,421 93% 223k $1.8M (exactly $1,778,814) Friedemann
Citizen Sleeper 2: Starward Vector $24.99 2,358 91% 71k $1.8M (exactly $1,767,793) Jump Over The Age
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Tabletop Tavern $19.99 2,049 89% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,228,785) TJ
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.