Do I ship it?

GamesTabletopTabletop + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Tabletop game?

Tabletop + Word Game

Of 32 developers who shipped a Word Game Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 22 developers shipped in the last year and 34 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 34 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tabletop + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $838 → $0 → $1.6k → $1.0k → $299 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tabletop + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 5% $44k (exactly $43,756)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 81
Announced 34
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Tabletop, Word Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, Deckbuilding
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 663 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $43k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tabletop with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BuildingFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  2. + CRPGFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  3. + RTSFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  4. + MilitaryFair30 devs · median $1.4k · 20 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  6. + DragonsFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + MahjongFair26 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  8. + WargameFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  9. + SpaceFair29 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair35 devs · median $807 · 33 announced
  11. + HorrorFair50 devs · median $776 · 51 announced
  12. + Local Co-OpFair31 devs · median $748 · 33 announced

All 155 pairs on the Tabletop page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Jackbox Survey Scramble $9.99 318 90% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,305) Jackbox Games, Inc
Lower? Higher! $9.99 146 67% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) Unplugged Studio
《奇门遁甲》 older $2.99 280 88% 8.4k $25k (exactly $25,116) CSTG-小光
OMG Words $9.99 72 79% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Dave
Songs of Life $8.99 80 81% 2.4k $22k (exactly $21,576) DreamStep
Knotwords older $11.99 54 90% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,424) Zach Gage, Jack Schlesinger
Happy Words older $4.99 121 46% 3.6k $18k (exactly $18,114) LAN - GAMES LTD
ACT IT OUT XL! A Charades Party Game older $11.99 50 74% 1.5k $18k (exactly $17,985) Snap Finger Click
Schlag den Star - Das 3. Spiel older $29.99 11 9% 330 $9.9k (exactly $9,897) Twigames Inc.
Wordeous older $7.99 19 89% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Equitatus Studio, Junla Games
Words Of Power $15.00 5 80% 150 $2.3k (exactly $2,250) Tsuperion
Play Together: Party Games $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Plot Interactive
Jargon $11.99 5 100% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Damon D'Amico
Questboard $5.99 9 88% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Binary Cabin
天道轮回:我的修仙梦 $5.99 8 37% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Kaka Ku Games Inc.
Mole or Not · EA $2.99 15 53% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) EY GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.