Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Action RPG?

Action RPG + Tabletop

Only 5 developers shipped a Tabletop Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Book of Fei, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $1.5k. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 17 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Action RPG + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,510)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $31,126)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 27
Announced 17
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Tabletop
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 9,937 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $360, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $31k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 17 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hand of Fate older $19.99 8,009 89% 240k $4.8M (exactly $4,802,997) Defiant Development
WARTILE older $19.99 601 75% 18k $360k (exactly $360,420) Playwood Project
Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder older $24.99 464 77% 14k $348k (exactly $347,861) Game Source Studio
Forgotten Realms: The Archives - Collection One older $9.99 283 92% 8.5k $85k (exactly $84,815) Westwood Associates, Strategic Simulati… (Westwood Associates, Strategic Simulations)
Book of Fei $2.99 347 93% 10k $31k (exactly $31,126) TAO Studio
The Chronicles of Quiver Dick older $2.99 173 93% 5.2k $16k (exactly $15,518) Crankage Games
BeatRider $11.99 32 53% 960 $12k (exactly $11,510) 无限电玩, Combo X Camp
Band of Brigands older $11.99 9 88% 270 $3.2k (exactly $3,237) ProtoGames
Temple of Apshai Trilogy older $3.99 17 52% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) Epyx, Inc.
Snake Effect older $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) oooyqx
Vitalis · EA $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) pngTriads
Journey Quest $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Zachary Brown, Steel Palm Games
Silverbrook: a Text-Based RPG $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Copper Lantern Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.